Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)• FA Cup, England

2.7:1.31-0FT03/101.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX3.891XB23.821XBMargin at best4.5%Books4Markets49Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.68	4.43	4.36	5.0%
Betfair	1.60	4.00	4.40	10.2%
Bet365	1.62	4.00	4.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.94	4.25	11.8%
Best of all books	1.68	4.43	4.40	4.8%
Average	1.62	4.09	4.25	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Guiseley AFCBradford (Park Avenue)

Last 1012Form pts · last 5122.7Goals for · last 51.51.3Goals against · last 50.573Attack rating2720Defence rating8054Form rating4675H2H rating2547Goals model5355Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC

Guiseley AFC

8W 1D 1L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	A	Avro	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Ilkeston Town	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Bradford (Park Avenue)	1-0	W
29 Sep	A	Alfreton Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Bamber Bridge	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Hebburn Town	4-1	W
12 Sep	H	Quorn	4-1	W
8 Sep	H	Stockton Town	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Stockton Town	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	AFC Emley	4-0	W

Bradford (Park Avenue)

8W 0D 2L · goals 22:7 · per match 2.2 for, 0.7 against

19 Sep	H	Lancaster City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Curzon Ashton	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Stalybridge Celtic	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Gainsborough Trinity	2-0	W
13 Jul	H	Sheffield	2-1	W
25 Apr	A	Ossett United	2-1	W
18 Apr	H	Bishop Auckland	1-0	W
11 Apr	A	Grimsby Borough	3-1	W
6 Apr	H	Brighouse Town	8-0	W
4 Apr	A	Dunston UTS	0-1	L

Head to head

4Guiseley AFC wins

3draws

1Bradford (Park Avenue) wins

8 meetings · goals 16:8 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Guiseley AFC

1 Jan 2024Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Bradford (Park Avenue)0-1Guiseley AFC
28 Aug 2023Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Guiseley AFC2-2Bradford (Park Avenue)
30 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Bradford (Park Avenue)1-2Guiseley AFC
18 Apr 2022National League - North	National League - North	Bradford (Park Avenue)0-0Guiseley AFC
28 Dec 2021National League - North	National League - North	Guiseley AFC2-2Bradford (Park Avenue)
6 Aug 2019National League - North	National League - North	Bradford (Park Avenue)0-5Guiseley AFC
14 Dec 2013FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Guiseley AFC3-0Bradford (Park Avenue)
28 Sep 2013FA Cup	FA Cup	Guiseley AFC1-3Bradford (Park Avenue)

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.84X26%3.54225%3.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.84 +13.6%X4.09 → 3.55 -13.2%24.25 → 3.56 -16.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.58	2.35	5.8%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.58	2.38	5.3%
Average	1.53	2.34	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.53	2.31	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.27	9.4%
Best of all books	1.53	2.31	8.6%
Average	1.53	2.29	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guiseley AFC 45%Draw 45%Bradford (Park Avenue) 10%

The statistical model rated Guiseley AFC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bradford (Park Avenue) at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.54 | 3.55, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Guiseley AFC win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Guiseley AFC averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Bradford (Park Avenue) averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guiseley AFC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	4.09	4.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.10	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.46	4.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	16.8	2.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	17.0
1.5	1.13	4.76
2.5	1.53	2.34
3.5	2.33	1.55
4.5	3.99	1.19
5.5	7.88	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.35
2	1.18	3.88
2.25	1.35	2.81
2.75	1.65	2.12
3	1.81	1.82
3.25	2.08	1.64
3.75	2.69	1.38
4	3.34	1.24
4.25	3.72	1.21
4.75	5.06	1.11
5	7.00	1.04
5.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.20	1.26
-1.5	2.62	1.38
-1.25	2.35	1.47
-1	2.06	1.64
-0.75	1.78	1.90
-0.25	1.42	2.49

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.10	1.01
-3	8.35	1.02
-2.75	6.60	1.05
-2.5	5.10	1.10
-2.25	4.70	1.12
-2	4.30	1.14
0	1.25	3.28
+0.25	1.19	3.74
+0.75	1.08	5.50
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.30