Cambridge City vs Alvechurch• FA Cup, England

4.5:1.01-2FT03/102.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30B365X4.221XB22.00BVCMargin at best4.0%Books4Markets45Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.62	4.24	1.86	5.0%
Betfair	3.50	3.80	1.80	10.4%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	1.80	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.54	3.74	1.76	11.8%
Best of all books	3.62	4.24	1.86	5.0%
Average	3.57	3.84	1.80	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cambridge CityAlvechurch

Last 107Form pts · last 554.5Goals for · last 52.51.0Goals against · last 50.564Attack rating3633Defence rating6750Form rating500H2H rating1000Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 14:31 UTC

Cambridge City

4W 3D 3L · goals 24:15 · per match 2.4 for, 1.5 against

19 Sep	H	Buckhurst Hill	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Canvey Island	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Maldon & Tiptree	6-1	W
29 Aug	H	Redbridge	1-1	D
11 Jul	H	Cambridge United	1-3	L
25 Apr	A	Brantham Athletic	6-1	W
18 Apr	H	Downham Town	2-2	D
11 Apr	H	Redbridge	1-2	L
6 Apr	A	Takeley	2-1	W
4 Apr	H	Mildenhall Town	0-0	D

Alvechurch

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

13 Oct	A	Halesowen Town	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Bury Town	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Cambridge City	2-1	W
29 Sep	H	Stourbridge	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Bourne Town	1-2	L
22 Sep	A	Anstey Nomads	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Racing Club Warwick	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Stamford	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Wolverhampton City	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Rushall Olympic	1-0	W

Head to head

0Cambridge City wins

0draws

1Alvechurch wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Cambridge City

28 Oct 2017FA Trophy

FA Trophy

Cambridge City0-2Alvechurch

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.15X24%3.76247%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.57 → 3.16 -11.5%X3.85 → 3.78 -1.8%21.81 → 1.94 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.56	2.38	6.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.56	2.38	6.1%
Average	1.53	2.35	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.49	2.42	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Best of all books	1.49	2.60	5.6%
Average	1.47	2.47	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cambridge City 10%Draw 45%Alvechurch 45%

The statistical model rated Cambridge City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Alvechurch at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.15 | 3.76 | 1.94, which imply roughly 26.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Cambridge City averaged 4.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Alvechurch averaged 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alvechurch and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.57	3.85	1.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.22	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
2.75	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
3.88	2.44	2.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.32	16.9	1.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	17.0
1.5	1.13	4.83
2.5	1.53	2.35
3.5	2.31	1.56
4.5	3.94	1.19
5.5	7.70	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.19	3.81
2.25	1.35	2.84
2.75	1.65	2.12
3	1.80	1.82
3.25	2.06	1.65
3.75	2.69	1.38
4	3.27	1.25
4.25	3.72	1.21
4.75	5.01	1.11
5	6.65	1.05
5.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.70	1.36
+0.25	2.15	1.56
+0.5	1.98	1.82
+0.75	1.66	1.99
+1	1.47	2.41
+1.25	1.35	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.80	1.02
-1.25	7.30	1.03
-1	6.75	1.04
-0.75	4.50	1.13
-0.25	3.08	1.28
+1.5	1.28	3.05
+1.75	1.19	3.80
+2	1.09	5.30
+2.25	1.07	5.75
+2.5	1.06	6.15