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Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr• Azadegan League, Iran

#100.8:0.40-0LiveToday1.2:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.521XBX2.90BTN22.891XBMargin at best8.8%Books2Markets14Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.502.902.879.3%
1xBet2.522.632.8912.3%
Best of all books2.522.902.898.8%
Average2.512.762.8810.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Novin AhvazArio Eslamshahr
Last 10#10Table position#71.38Points per game1.509Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.20.4Goals against · last 51.240Attack rating6075Defence rating2560Form rating400H2H rating053Goals model4757Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 09:30 UTC

Novin Ahvaz

2W 5D 1L · goals 8:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

2 NovANaft Bandar Abbas1-0W
27 OctHBe'sat Kermanshah0-0D
19 OctAHavadar1-0W
11 OctHNaft Masjed Soleyman1-1D
4 OctANaft Gachsaran1-1D
27 SepHShahin Bandar Ameri2-2D
21 SepAShenavarsazi Qeshm2-2D
15 SepHNiroye Zamini0-1L

Ario Eslamshahr

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

2 NovHFard Alborz0-3L
27 OctAPars Jonoubi JAM0-1L
20 OctHNaft Bandar Abbas4-0W
12 OctHBe'sat Kermanshah2-1W
5 OctAMes Rafsanjan0-1L
28 SepHHavadar2-0W
22 SepANaft Gachsaran1-0W
16 SepHNaft Masjed Soleyman0-3L
17 JulANassaji Mazandaran2-1W
11 JulHShenavarsazi Qeshm1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr on record.

Azadegan League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Nov 13:40 UTC

In the Azadegan League table, Novin Ahvaz sit 10th with 11 points from 8 games, while Ario Eslamshahr are 7th with 12 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM85308:3+518
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm95318:4+418
3Fard Alborz952216:7+917
4Mes Rafsanjan94417:2+516
5Shahin Bandar Ameri934211:11013
6Naft Gachsaran83328:6+212
7Ario Eslamshahr84049:9012
8Mes Soongoun83327:7012
9Naft Masjed Soleyman932412:10+211
10Novin Ahvaz82518:7+111
11Saipa83236:6011
12Be'sat Kermanshah92348:10-29
13Mes Kerman91446:9-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas81434:9-57
15Niroye Zamini91175:14-94
16Havadar80351:10-93

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.51X33%2.76231%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Nov 09:309 Nov 12:401 2.51X 2.762 2.88
12.36 → 2.51 +6.4%X3.03 → 2.76 -8.9%22.71 → 2.88 +6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.451.478.8%
1xBet2.471.469.0%
Best of all books2.471.478.5%
Average2.461.468.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.051.678.7%
1xBet2.071.649.3%
Best of all books2.071.678.2%
Average2.061.659.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Novin Ahvaz 45%Draw 45%Ario Eslamshahr 10%

The statistical model rates Novin Ahvaz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ario Eslamshahr at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 2.76 | 2.88, which imply roughly 39.8% for a Novin Ahvaz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Azadegan League table: Novin Ahvaz are 10th (11 pts, 8-7 goals), Ario Eslamshahr 7th (12 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Novin Ahvaz averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Ario Eslamshahr averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Novin Ahvaz or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.512.762.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.471.31

Draw no bet

12
1.721.98

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.061.65

1st half

1X2
3.191.893.58

2nd half

1X2
2.892.153.24

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2014.040.0
HT X5.303.906.00
HT 237.015.04.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.115.30
1.51.472.46
21.841.84
2.52.461.47
3.54.351.16
4.57.201.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.711.97

Latest Azadegan League results

9 NovSaipa 0-0 Havadar
9 NovMes Soongoun 2-1 Naft Gachsaran
8 NovShenavarsazi Qeshm 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan
8 NovMes Kerman 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman
8 NovFard Alborz 4-1 Be'sat Kermanshah
8 NovNiroye Zamini 1-2 Shahin Bandar Ameri