Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran• Azadegan League, Iran

#50.8:1.012:0027/101.0:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.771XBX3.051XB24.631XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets10Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.77	3.05	4.63	10.9%
Best of all books	1.77	3.05	4.63	10.9%
Average	1.77	3.05	4.63	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SaipaNaft Gachsaran

Last 10#5Table position#111.67Points per game1.007Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5650Defence rating5058Form rating4262H2H rating38100Goals model054Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:02 UTC

Saipa

6W 1D 3L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

19 Oct	A	Naft Masjed Soleyman	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Shahin Bandar Ameri	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Niroye Zamini	2-1	W
22 Sep	A	Mes Kerman	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Mes Soongoun	2-0	W
16 Jul	H	Naft Bandar Abbas	1-0	W
11 Jul	A	Navad Urmia	2-0	W
2 Jul	H	Shahrdari Noshahr	1-0	W
27 Jun	A	Fard Alborz	1-2	L

Naft Gachsaran

1W 4D 5L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

19 Oct	H	Fard Alborz	4-2	W
12 Oct	A	Pars Jonoubi JAM	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Novin Ahvaz	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Naft Bandar Abbas	0-0	D
22 Sep	H	Ario Eslamshahr	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Be'sat Kermanshah	0-0	D
16 Jul	H	Mes Shahr-e Babak	0-2	L
11 Jul	A	Havadar	2-2	D
3 Jul	H	Mes Soongoun	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	Nassaji Mazandaran	0-3	L

Head to head

3Saipa wins

2draws

1Naft Gachsaran wins

6 meetings · goals 8:6 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Saipa

21 May 2026Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Naft Gachsaran2-1Saipa
13 Oct 2025Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Saipa0-0Naft Gachsaran
22 Apr 2025Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Naft Gachsaran1-1Saipa
7 Dec 2024Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Saipa1-0Naft Gachsaran
5 Jun 2024Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Saipa2-1Naft Gachsaran
12 Dec 2023Azadegan League	Azadegan League	Naft Gachsaran2-3Saipa

Azadegan League tableRegular Seasonupdated 24 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Azadegan League table, Saipa sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Naft Gachsaran are 11th with 6 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Mes Rafsanjan	6	4	2	0	7:1	+6	14
2	Pars Jonoubi JAM	6	4	2	0	7:3	+4	14
3	Ario Eslamshahr	6	4	0	2	9:5	+4	12
4	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	6	3	3	0	5:2	+3	12
5	Saipa	6	3	1	2	6:5	+1	10
6	Naft Masjed Soleyman	6	2	2	2	8:6	+2	8
7	Fard Alborz	6	2	2	2	7:6	+1	8
8	Mes Soongoun	6	2	2	2	5:6	-1	8
9	Be'sat Kermanshah	6	2	1	3	7:6	+1	7
10	Novin Ahvaz	6	1	4	1	7:7	0	7
11	Naft Gachsaran	6	1	3	2	5:5	0	6
12	Shahin Bandar Ameri	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
13	Naft Bandar Abbas	6	1	3	2	4:8	-4	6
14	Niroye Zamini	6	1	1	4	3:8	-5	4
15	Mes Kerman	6	0	3	3	2:5	-3	3
16	Havadar	6	0	2	4	1:8	-7	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X30%3.05219%4.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.88	1.34	9.3%
Best of all books	2.88	1.34	9.3%
Average	2.88	1.34	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Saipa 45%Draw 45%Naft Gachsaran 10%

The statistical model rates Saipa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naft Gachsaran at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.05 | 4.63, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Saipa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Azadegan League table: Saipa are 5th (10 pts, 6-5 goals), Naft Gachsaran 11th (6 pts, 5-5).

Over their last five matches, Saipa averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Naft Gachsaran averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Saipa or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.05	4.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	1.82	1.26

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	1.86	5.69

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.04	5.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.55	2.23
2	2.10	1.62
2.5	2.88	1.34

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.79	1.36
0	1.27	3.26

Next Azadegan League matches

26 Oct	Fard Alborz – Havadar
26 Oct	Mes Soongoun – Naft Masjed Soleyman
26 Oct	Mes Kerman – Shahin Bandar Ameri
26 Oct	Niroye Zamini – Shenavarsazi Qeshm
27 Oct	Naft Bandar Abbas – Mes Rafsanjan

All Azadegan League fixtures and the table

Latest Azadegan League results

20 Oct	Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1-0 Mes Kerman
20 Oct	Ario Eslamshahr 4-0 Naft Bandar Abbas
20 Oct	Mes Rafsanjan 4-1 Niroye Zamini
19 Oct	Shahin Bandar Ameri 2-3 Mes Soongoun
19 Oct	Naft Gachsaran 4-2 Fard Alborz
19 Oct	Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Saipa