Roskilde vs Aarhus• DBU Pokalen, Denmark

4.0:0.319:00Tomorrow6.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.00BFRX5.40DAF21.35BTNMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets63Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L55.7

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	7.50	5.20	1.35	6.6%
Dafabet	7.60	5.40	1.32	7.4%
1xBet	7.75	5.05	1.33	7.9%
Marathonbet	7.70	5.05	1.32	8.5%
BetVictor	8.00	5.00	1.30	9.4%
Betfair	8.00	5.00	1.29	10.0%
Bet365	6.00	5.00	1.33	11.9%
William Hill	7.00	4.50	1.30	13.4%
Best of all books	8.00	5.40	1.35	5.1%
Average	7.44	5.03	1.32	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RoskildeAarhus

Last 1011Form pts · last 584.0Goals for · last 56.00.3Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3350Defence rating5075Form rating2513H2H rating880Goals model047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:01 UTC

Roskilde

6W 4D 0L · goals 24:9 · per match 2.4 for, 0.9 against

23 Oct	H	Fremad Amager	4-0	W
17 Oct	A	Middelfart	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	Skive	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Thisted FC	2-0	W
25 Sep	A	HIK	1-1	D
18 Sep	H	FA 2000	5-1	W
13 Sep	A	Brabrand	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Frem	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	VSK Århus	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Nykobing FC	2-2	D

Aarhus

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	H	Viborg	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	FC Copenhagen	1-1	D
15 Oct	A	Gent	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Sonderjyske	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Vendsyssel FF	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	AC Horsens	2-2	D
16 Sep	A	Skjold Sæby	6-1	W
13 Sep	A	FC Nordsjaelland	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Silkeborg	2-2	D

Head to head

0Roskilde wins

1draws

2Aarhus wins

3 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Roskilde

7 May 20151. Division	1. Division	Roskilde0-2Aarhus
2 Apr 20151. Division	1. Division	Aarhus1-0Roskilde
27 Jul 20141. Division	1. Division	Aarhus2-2Roskilde

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.49X18%5.04270%1.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.50	5.8%
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.49	2.39	9.0%
1xBet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.52	2.63	3.8%
Average	1.48	2.47	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.95	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.97	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Roskilde 35%Draw 35%Aarhus 30%

The statistical model rates Roskilde at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aarhus at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.49 | 5.04 | 1.32, which imply roughly 13.4% for a Roskilde win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Roskilde averaged 4 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Aarhus averaged 6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Roskilde or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.44	5.03	1.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.13	1.08	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
5.75	1.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
6.63	2.63	1.74

2nd half

1	X	2
6.19	3.09	1.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	13.3	18.6	19.2
HT X	15.8	8.10	4.18
HT 2	52.2	17.8	1.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.29	18.8	1.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.13	5.12
2.5	1.48	2.47
3.5	2.23	1.61
4.5	3.68	1.23
5.5	6.88	1.08
6.5	13.2	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.17	4.00
2.25	1.32	2.93
2.75	1.58	2.17
3	1.75	1.94
3.25	1.96	1.74
3.75	2.47	1.45
4	2.99	1.30
4.25	3.29	1.25
4.75	4.34	1.15
5	5.75	1.07
5.25	6.00	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.72	1.39
+1	2.45	1.48
+1.25	2.04	1.69
+1.5	1.83	1.91
+1.75	1.63	2.13
+2	1.45	2.52

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	8.82	1.01
-0.5	6.40	1.12
-0.25	6.07	1.08
0	5.72	1.10
+0.25	3.82	1.21
+0.5	3.10	1.35
+2.25	1.36	2.81
+2.5	1.30	3.07
+2.75	1.22	3.74
+3	1.13	5.02
+3.25	1.11	5.42
+3.5	1.09	5.70
+4	1.01	9.70
+4.5	1.04	8.50

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