Deren vs Amtat FC• Premier League, Mongolia

#32.3:0.35-2FT27/090.7:4.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.04B365X15.0B365226.0B365Margin at best6.7%Books1Markets20Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.04	15.0	26.0	6.7%
Best of all books	1.04	15.0	26.0	6.7%
Average	1.04	15.0	26.0	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DerenAmtat FC

Last 10#3Table position#82.00Points per game0.5011Form pts · last 532.3Goals for · last 50.70.3Goals against · last 54.078Attack rating2292Defence rating870Form rating300H2H rating00Goals model080Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 08:31 UTC

Deren

7W 2D 1L · goals 28:12 · per match 2.8 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Khovd	3-3	D
1 Oct	A	Khovd Western	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Amtat FC	5-2	W
20 Sep	A	Ulaangom City	5-0	W
17 Sep	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Hunters	2-1	W
6 Jul	A	Ulaanbaatar	3-2	W
3 Jul	A	Central Stallions	3-0	W
30 Jun	H	Khangarid	2-1	W
27 Jun	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-2	L

Amtat FC

1W 0D 2L · goals 2:12 · per match 0.7 for, 4.0 against

20 Sep	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-9	L
16 Sep	A	Erchim	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Central Stallions	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Deren and Amtat FC on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 07:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Deren sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games, while Amtat FC are 8th with 3 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Central Stallions	7	7	0	0	29:7	+22	21
2	Ulaanbaatar	6	5	1	0	29:4	+25	16
3	Deren	7	4	2	1	21:9	+12	14
4	Khovd	6	3	1	2	23:15	+8	10
5	Hunters	6	3	0	3	20:15	+5	9
6	Erchim	6	2	0	4	9:19	-10	6
7	Khovd Western	6	1	0	5	13:27	-14	3
8	Amtat FC	6	1	0	5	5:31	-26	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	0	0	6	4:26	-22	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg190%1.02X7%13.323%35.5

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.04 → 1.02 -1.9%X15.0 → 13.3 -11.7%226.0 → 35.5 +36.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.17	4.50	7.7%
1xBet	1.17	4.40	8.2%
Best of all books	1.17	4.50	7.7%
Average	1.17	4.45	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deren 50%Draw 50%Amtat FC 0%

The statistical model rated Deren at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Amtat FC at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.02 | 13.25 | 35.50, which imply roughly 98% for a Deren win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Deren are 3rd (14 pts, 21-9 goals), Amtat FC 8th (3 pts, 5-31).

Over their last five matches, Deren averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Amtat FC averaged 0.7 scored and 4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Deren.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.04	15.0	26.0

Double chance

X2	12
9.00	1.01

Draw no bet

1	2
1.01	15.0

1st half

1	X	2
1.20	4.33	19.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.12	34.0	6.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.17	4.45
3.5	1.47	2.47
4	1.71	2.00
4.5	2.10	1.64
5	2.75	1.39

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	2.80	1.37
-4	2.32	1.54
-3.5	1.88	1.88
-3	1.51	2.37
-2.5	1.35	2.90