Khovd vs 
Ulaanbaatar• Premier League, Mongolia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 12:40 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 13.6 | 11.1 | 1.12 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 1.06 | 5.8% |
| Betfair | 26.0 | 14.0 | 1.04 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 17.0 | 10.3 | 1.05 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 21.0 | 15.0 | 1.12 | 0.7% |
| Average | 19.4 | 12.6 | 1.07 | 6.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Sep 08:31 UTC
Khovd
3W 1D 6L · goals 24:43 · per match 2.4 for, 4.3 against
| 26 Sep | A | Erchim | 8-2 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Central Stallions | 0-6 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Khovd Western | 4-0 | W |
| 1 Jul | H | Khoromkhon | 7-1 | W |
| 28 Jun | A | Ulaangom City | 3-3 | D |
| 25 Jun | H | Hunters | 1-6 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Khovd Western | 0-3 | L |
| 18 Jun | H | Deren | 0-6 | L |
| 13 Jun | A | Hunters | 1-10 | L |
| 24 May | H | Khangarid | 0-6 | L |
Ulaanbaatar
6W 1D 3L · goals 38:15 · per match 3.8 for, 1.5 against
| 11 Oct | A | Erchim | 3-1 | W |
| 5 Oct | H | Ulaangom City | 8-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Khovd | 4-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Hunters | 5-3 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Amtat FC | 9-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Deren | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Aug | H | Hang Yuen | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Jul | H | Deren | 2-3 | L |
| 3 Jul | A | Khangarid | 4-3 | W |
| 30 Jun | H | Central Stallions | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 17:53 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Khovd
| 25 Apr 2026Premier League | Premier League | Ulaanbaatar4-1Khovd |
| 21 Sep 2025Premier League | Premier League | Khovd0-4Ulaanbaatar |
| 6 Jul 2025Premier League | Premier League | Ulaanbaatar3-3Khovd |
| 17 Apr 2025Premier League | Premier League | Khovd3-4Ulaanbaatar |
| 29 Sep 2024Premier League | Premier League | Ulaanbaatar3-3Khovd |
| 31 May 2024Premier League | Premier League | Khovd3-6Ulaanbaatar |
| 13 Apr 2024Premier League | Premier League | Ulaanbaatar9-1Khovd |
| 28 Sep 2023Premier League | Premier League | Khovd0-2Ulaanbaatar |
| 17 May 2023Premier League | Premier League | Ulaanbaatar2-0Khovd |
| 1 Apr 2023Premier League | Premier League | Khovd0-2Ulaanbaatar |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 07:10 UTC
In the Premier League table, Khovd sit 4th with 10 points from 6 games, while Ulaanbaatar are 2nd with 16 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29:7 | +22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29:4 | +25 | 16 |
| 3 | Deren | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | +12 | 14 |
| 4 | Khovd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Hunters | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | Erchim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:27 | -14 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:31 | -26 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:26 | -22 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 8.00 | 6.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.06 | 8.00 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.06 | 8.00 | 6.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 3.36 | 7.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.29 | 3.36 | 7.3% |
| Average | 1.29 | 3.36 | 7.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Khovd at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulaanbaatar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 17.50 | 11.44 | 1.06, which imply roughly 8.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Khovd are 4th (10 pts, 23-15 goals), Ulaanbaatar 2nd (16 pts, 29-4).
Over their last five matches, Khovd averaged 4 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game; Ulaanbaatar averaged 4.7 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ulaanbaatar and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.4 | 12.6 | 1.07 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.23 | 1.01 | 1.03 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 10.3 | 1.01 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.29 | 3.36 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 4.70 | 1.21 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.06 | 8.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.16 | 4.55 |
| 4.5 | 1.44 | 2.68 |
| 5.5 | 1.83 | 1.84 |
| 6.5 | 2.62 | 1.47 |
| 7.5 | 3.98 | 1.20 |
| 8.5 | 6.72 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5 | 3.20 | 1.28 |
| +2 | 2.70 | 1.41 |
| +2.5 | 2.04 | 1.70 |
| +3 | 1.70 | 2.03 |
| +3.5 | 1.49 | 2.43 |
| +3.75 | 1.93 | 1.79 |