Neftchi vs Lokomotiv• Cup, Uzbekistan

1.0:0.02-4FTToday · Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60B365X4.00BFR25.311XBMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets54Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.60	3.90	5.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.25	9.4%
Dafabet	1.54	3.90	5.20	9.8%
1xBet	1.53	3.78	5.31	10.6%
Betano	1.53	3.95	4.85	11.3%
Betfair	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.78	5.20	11.9%
William Hill	1.53	3.75	5.00	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.54	3.79	4.67	12.7%
Best of all books	1.60	4.00	5.31	6.3%
Average	1.53	3.87	5.05	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NeftchiLokomotiv

Last 1010Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating050Form rating5093H2H rating70Goals model066Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

Neftchi

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

16 Oct	A	Kokand-1912	4-2	W
12 Oct	A	Al-Nassr	1-3	L
7 Oct	H	Xorazm	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Surkhon	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Nasaf	2-6	L
29 Aug	H	Pakhtakor	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sogdiana	3-0	W
18 Aug	A	Buxoro	1-4	L

Lokomotiv

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	H	Nasaf	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Sogdiana	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Neftchi	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Mash'al	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Navbahor	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	Bunyodkor	4-1	W
20 Aug	A	Xorazm	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Kokand-1912	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W

Head to head

4Neftchi wins

7draws

9Lokomotiv wins

20 meetings · goals 22:36 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Neftchi

20 Sep 2026Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv0-1Neftchi
20 Mar 2026Super League	Super League	Neftchi3-1Lokomotiv
30 Nov 2024Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv2-3Neftchi
27 Jun 2024Super League	Super League	Neftchi1-1Lokomotiv
3 Oct 2022Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv1-3Neftchi
5 May 2022Super League	Super League	Neftchi0-1Lokomotiv
11 Aug 2018Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv1-1Neftchi
4 May 2018Super League	Super League	Neftchi1-4Lokomotiv
3 Nov 2017Super League	Super League	Neftchi0-0Lokomotiv
27 May 2017Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv4-0Neftchi

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.52X23%3.93218%5.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.53 +1.3%X3.85 → 3.87 +0.5%25.42 → 5.05 -6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.04	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.96	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.93	9.3%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.95	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi 45%Draw 45%Lokomotiv 10%

The statistical model rated Neftchi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lokomotiv at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 3.93 | 5.11, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Neftchi win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Neftchi averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Lokomotiv averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Neftchi or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	3.87	5.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.27	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.28	5.12

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.65	4.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.27	15.3	45.6
HT X	4.28	6.00	11.2
HT 2	21.2	16.4	9.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	12.0	2.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.3
1.5	1.19	3.89
2.5	1.68	2.04
3.5	2.70	1.38
4.5	5.07	1.11
5.5	9.40	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.10
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.09	5.25
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	3.07
2.25	1.48	2.37
2.75	1.83	1.82
3	2.11	1.60
3.25	2.37	1.47
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.20	1.16
4.25	4.55	1.13
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.45	1.44
-1.25	2.18	1.57
-1	1.90	1.79
-0.75	1.67	2.01
-0.5	1.53	2.27
-0.25	1.36	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.75	5.90	1.07
-2.5	4.60	1.13
-2.25	4.25	1.15
-2	3.88	1.18
-1.75	2.90	1.32
0	1.17	3.94
+0.25	1.14	4.45
+0.75	1.05	6.65
+1.5	1.02	10.0

Latest Cup results

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