CerritovsLa Luz• Segunda División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Cerrito8th9 pts
La Luz9th7 pts
Cerrito8th9 pts
La Luz9th7 ptsIn the Segunda División table, Cerrito sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games, while La Luz are 9th with 7 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Cerrito at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and La Luz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 2.99 | 3.17, which imply roughly 45.7% for a Cerrito win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Cerrito are 8th (9 pts, 8-8 goals), La Luz 9th (7 pts, 5-6).
Over their last five matches, Cerrito averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; La Luz averaged 0.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Cerrito or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Cerrito vs La Luz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 |  Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Fenix | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Huracan | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Colón | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Miramar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 11 |  Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 |  Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 |  CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.17
X
3.02
2
3.20
Double chance
1X
1.27
X2
1.58
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.88
No
1.77
Match goals
Over 2.5
2.24
Under 2.5
1.57
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.69
Over 1.75
1.48
Under 1.75
2.38
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
2.05
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.76
Over 2.75
2.62
Under 2.75
1.40
Over 3.5
3.95
Under 3.5
1.18
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.05
Over 1.25
1.22
Under 1.25
3.50
Over 3
3.37
Under 3
1.25
Over 3.25
3.74
Under 3.25
1.19
Over 4
7.90
Under 4
1.02
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
6.08
Over 4.5
7.35
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 3.75
4.87
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 5.5
23.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.54
2
2.30
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.32
Away 0.5
1.62
1st half
1
2.89
X
1.94
2
3.95
First team to score
Home
1.81
No Goal
7.00
Away
2.40