ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United• IFA Shield, India

6.0:0.01-1FT29/09 · Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata3.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.50B36525.881XBMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets41Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 16:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.44	4.40	5.50	10.4%
1xBet	1.48	4.33	4.95	10.9%
Bet365	1.53	4.50	4.20	11.4%
BetVictor	1.50	3.70	5.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.47	4.33	4.75	12.2%
Best of all books	1.53	4.50	5.50	5.8%
Average	1.48	4.25	4.98	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ATK Mohun BaganNorthEast United

Last 108Form pts · last 5106.0Goals for · last 53.00.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating050Form rating50100H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 11:01 UTC

ATK Mohun Bagan

4W 5D 1L · goals 13:5 · per match 1.3 for, 0.5 against

12 Oct	A	NorthEast United	0-1	L
8 Oct	H	East Bengal II	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Minerva Punjab	0-0	D
29 Sep	H	NorthEast United	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Sreenidi Deccan	6-0	W
21 May	H	SC Delhi	2-1	W
17 May	H	East Bengal II	1-1	D
12 May	H	Inter Kashi	0-0	D
9 May	A	Goa	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	NorthEast United	1-0	W

NorthEast United

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

12 Oct	H	ATK Mohun Bagan	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	East Bengal II	2-7	L
29 Sep	A	ATK Mohun Bagan	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Sreenidi Deccan	3-0	W
19 May	H	Mohammedan	2-0	W
10 May	H	Chennaiyin	4-1	W
2 May	H	Inter Kashi	3-2	W
24 Apr	H	Goa	0-2	L
19 Apr	H	ATK Mohun Bagan	0-1	L
15 Apr	A	Kerala Blasters	1-1	D

Head to head

10ATK Mohun Bagan wins

2draws

2NorthEast United wins

14 meetings · goals 28:15 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for ATK Mohun Bagan

29 Sep 2026IFA Shield	IFA Shield	ATK Mohun Bagan1-1NorthEast United
19 Apr 2026Indian Super League	Indian Super League	NorthEast United0-1ATK Mohun Bagan
8 Dec 2024Indian Super League	Indian Super League	NorthEast United0-2ATK Mohun Bagan
23 Sep 2024Indian Super League	Indian Super League	ATK Mohun Bagan3-2NorthEast United
17 Feb 2024Indian Super League	Indian Super League	ATK Mohun Bagan4-2NorthEast United
15 Dec 2023Indian Super League	Indian Super League	NorthEast United1-3ATK Mohun Bagan
24 Dec 2022Indian Super League	Indian Super League	NorthEast United1-0ATK Mohun Bagan
10 Nov 2022Indian Super League	Indian Super League	ATK Mohun Bagan2-1NorthEast United
12 Feb 2022Indian Super League	Indian Super League	ATK Mohun Bagan3-1NorthEast United
21 Dec 2021Indian Super League	Indian Super League	NorthEast United2-3ATK Mohun Bagan

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.40X22%4.19214%6.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.48 → 1.49 +0.7%X4.25 → 3.96 -6.8%24.98 → 5.39 +8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Betfair	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.94	1.76	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
Best of all books	2.25	1.72	2.6%
Average	2.05	1.67	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan 45%Draw 45%NorthEast United 10%

The statistical model rated ATK Mohun Bagan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and NorthEast United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.19 | 6.53, which imply roughly 71.4% for a ATK Mohun Bagan win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, ATK Mohun Bagan averaged 6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; NorthEast United averaged 3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : ATK Mohun Bagan and +5.5 goals (goal line signal: over 5.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	4.25	4.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.37	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.27	5.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	14.5	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.83
1.5	1.28	3.20
2.5	1.94	1.76
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	7.00	1.05
5.5	13.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.75	1.34	2.78
2	1.46	2.40
2.25	1.70	1.98
2.75	2.21	1.56
3	2.73	1.36
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.45	1.14
4	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.60	1.40
-1.25	2.28	1.52
-1	1.94	1.77
-0.75	1.64	2.04
-0.5	1.50	2.36
-0.25	1.33	2.81

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.55	1.08
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.19	3.80
+0.25	1.15	4.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.83	1.83