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Congo DR vs Uganda• Friendlies, World

1.0:0.70-2FT02/100.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.691XBX3.681XB26.331XBMargin at best2.1%Books3Markets45Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L50.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.813.645.162.1%
Betfair1.733.405.007.2%
Marathonbet1.703.424.858.7%
Best of all books1.813.645.162.1%
Average1.753.495.005.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Congo DRUganda
Last 109Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 50.00.7Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 11:51 UTC

Congo DR

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

2 OctHUganda0-2L
28 SepAZimbabwe2-1W
24 SepHEquatorial Guinea2-0W
1 JulAEngland1-2L
27 JunHUzbekistan3-1W
24 JunAColombia0-1L
17 JunAPortugal1-1D
9 JunHChile1-2L
3 JunHDenmark0-0D
31 MarHJamaica1-0W

Uganda

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

2 OctACongo DR2-0W
29 SepHLibya1-0W
24 SepATunisia1-1D
30 DecHNigeria1-3L
27 DecHTanzania1-1D
23 DecATunisia1-3L
18 NovAMorocco0-4L
14 NovHChad2-1W
14 OctAAlgeria1-2L
9 OctABotswana1-0W

Head to head

1Congo DR wins
1draws
1Uganda wins

3 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Congo DR

14 Jun 2023FriendliesFriendliesCongo DR1-0Uganda
14 Jan 2023African Nations ChampionshipAfrican Nations ChampionshipCongo DR0-0Uganda
22 Jun 2019Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsCongo DR0-2Uganda

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.60X26%3.50216%5.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Oct 10:412 Oct 10:511 1.63X 3.552 5.93
11.75 → 1.63 -6.9%X3.49 → 3.55 +1.7%25.00 → 5.93 +18.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.501.612.1%
Marathonbet2.381.537.4%
Betfair2.451.507.5%
Best of all books2.501.612.1%
Average2.441.555.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.301.606.0%
1xBet2.181.618.0%
Marathonbet2.181.598.8%
Best of all books2.301.615.6%
Average2.221.607.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Congo DR 10%Draw 45%Uganda 45%

The statistical model rated Congo DR at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Uganda at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.93, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Congo DR averaged 1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Uganda averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Uganda and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Congo DR

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • –Dimitry Bertaud

Defence

  • –Gedeon Kalulu
  • –Willy Kambwala
  • –Steve Kapuadi
  • –Jordy Makengo

Midfield

  • –Théo Bongonda
  • –Aaron Tshibola
  • –Ezechiel Banzuzi
  • –Stephy Mavididi

Attack

  • –Afimico Pululu
  • –Samuel Essende

Uganda

3-4-3

Goalkeeper

  • –Akpan Udoh

Defence

  • –Gavin Kizito
  • –Geoffrey Lubanga Kene
  • –Hilary Mukundane
  • –Jonathan Odongo
  • –Herbert Achai

Midfield

  • –Abdoulaye Sissako
  • –Allan Oyirwoth

Attack

  • –Denis Omedi
  • –Kelvin Boateng
  • –James Bogere
Substitutes (12)
  • –Hannington Sebwalunyo
  • –David Lukwago
  • –Toto Majub
  • –Joseph Seremba
  • –Kenneth Semakula
  • –Sadam Masereka
  • –Travis Mutyaba
  • –Allan Okello
  • –Frank Ssebuufu
  • –Richard Basangwa
  • –Steven Mukwala
  • –Hassan Mubiru

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.753.495.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.081.30

Draw no bet

12
1.253.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.221.60

1st half

1X2
2.351.995.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.547.103.12

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.40
1.51.422.58
2.52.441.55
3.54.631.15
4.59.401.05
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.45
11.075.75
1.251.243.34
1.751.532.22
21.731.91
2.252.091.72
2.752.751.36
33.601.21
3.254.051.16
3.755.701.08
48.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.391.30
-1.252.761.38
-12.381.52
-0.751.881.76
-0.251.442.43
01.233.42
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.758.801.01
-2.56.831.05
-2.256.351.06
-25.851.07
-1.754.771.18
+0.251.174.00
+0.751.066.46
+11.0110.0
+1.51.0310.5