Pennarossa vs Folgore• Campionato, San-Marino

#141.8:4.019:15Today2.5:0.3#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.581XBX4.40DAF21.47BFRMargin at best6.0%Books8Markets45Rating21 · 79Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	6.40	4.40	1.40	9.8%
Betano	6.10	4.20	1.42	10.6%
1xBet	6.58	4.30	1.38	10.9%
Bet365	5.25	4.33	1.44	11.6%
Betfair	5.00	4.20	1.47	11.8%
Marathonbet	6.25	4.30	1.37	12.2%
Pinnacle	5.35	4.12	1.43	12.9%
William Hill	6.00	3.90	1.40	13.7%
Best of all books	6.58	4.40	1.47	6.0%
Average	5.87	4.22	1.41	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PennarossaFolgore

Last 10#14Table position#10.75Points per game3.006Form pts · last 5151.8Goals for · last 52.54.0Goals against · last 50.341Attack rating596Defence rating9420Form rating807H2H rating9324Goals model7621Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:43 UTC

Pennarossa

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

19 Sep	H	Fiorentino	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Cosmos	1-6	L
9 Sep	H	Cailungo	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Murata	1-4	L
30 Aug	A	Tre Fiori	2-5	L
29 Apr	A	Cosmos	0-3	L
26 Apr	A	Tre Fiori	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Juvenes / Dogana	0-0	D
12 Apr	A	Cosmos	1-0	W
7 Apr	A	Cailungo	2-1	W

Folgore

8W 1D 1L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

19 Sep	H	San Marino Academy	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Juvenes / Dogana	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Libertas	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Cailungo	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Murata	5-0	W
5 May	H	Domagnano	1-3	L
2 May	A	Domagnano	1-0	W
25 Apr	A	Domagnano	7-3	W
19 Apr	H	San Marino Academy	3-0	W
12 Apr	A	Juvenes / Dogana	2-2	D

Head to head

3Pennarossa wins

4draws

13Folgore wins

20 meetings · goals 22:46 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Pennarossa

21 Feb 2026Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa2-3Folgore
25 Oct 2025Campionato	Campionato	Folgore3-0Pennarossa
22 Jan 2025Campionato	Campionato	Folgore2-2Pennarossa
14 Sep 2024Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa0-3Folgore
13 Apr 2024Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa2-4Folgore
7 Jan 2024Campionato	Campionato	Folgore8-0Pennarossa
25 Oct 2023Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Pennarossa2-4Folgore
28 Sep 2023Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Folgore1-0Pennarossa
4 Feb 2023Campionato	Campionato	Folgore2-1Pennarossa
17 Sep 2022Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa4-0Folgore

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC

In the Campionato table, Pennarossa sit 14th with 3 points from 4 games, while Folgore are 1st with 12 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	+9	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	+4	10
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	+9	9
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	+5	7
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
10	Juvenes / Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%5.87X21%4.22264%1.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17.49 → 5.87 -21.6%X4.84 → 4.22 -12.8%21.30 → 1.41 +8.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.10	8.6%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.12	9.7%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.63	2.11	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.86	7.8%
Average	1.82	1.84	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pennarossa 0%Draw 50%Folgore 50%

The statistical model rates Pennarossa at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Folgore at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.87 | 4.22 | 1.41, which imply roughly 23.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Pennarossa are 14th (3 pts, 7-16 goals), Folgore 1st (12 pts, 10-1).

Over their last five matches, Pennarossa averaged 1.8 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; Folgore averaged 2.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Folgore and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.87	4.22	1.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.52	1.09	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
4.34	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
5.98	2.39	1.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.14	13.9	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.0
1.5	1.17	3.96
2.5	1.63	2.11
3.5	2.54	1.41
4.5	4.50	1.13
5.5	9.50	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.45	2.44
2.75	1.79	1.87
3	2.01	1.66
3.25	2.30	1.51
3.75	2.92	1.32
4	3.86	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.55	1.42
+0.75	2.34	1.49
+1	2.04	1.64
+1.25	1.79	1.90
+1.5	1.68	2.05
+1.75	1.44	2.44

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	4.90	1.11
+0.25	3.34	1.24
+2	1.29	3.05
+2.25	1.28	3.16
+2.5	1.20	3.70
+3	1.05	6.40
+3.5	1.04	7.10