La Fiorita vs Murata• Campionato, San-Marino

#71.0:0.819:15Today1.0:2.5#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.08WHX9.901XB229.0DAFMargin at best6.1%Books8Markets52Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.07	11.0	21.0	7.3%
William Hill	1.08	8.00	41.0	7.5%
Dafabet	1.05	8.80	29.0	10.1%
Betfair	1.08	8.00	17.0	11.0%
Betano	1.07	7.50	23.0	11.1%
1xBet	1.02	9.90	27.0	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.02	9.40	25.0	12.7%
BetVictor	1.06	5.75	12.0	20.1%
Best of all books	1.08	9.90	29.0	6.1%
Average	1.06	8.54	24.4	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La FioritaMurata

Last 10#7Table position#121.50Points per game0.756Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.550Attack rating5077Defence rating2367Form rating3380H2H rating2054Goals model4668Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:43 UTC

La Fiorita

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	A	Domagnano	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Fiorentino	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	San Marino Academy	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Virtus	0-0	D
14 Jul	H	UNA Strassen	0-2	L
7 Jul	A	UNA Strassen	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	Vardar Skopje	1-1	D
23 May	A	Tre Fiori	3-1	W
16 May	A	Virtus	1-2	L
12 May	A	Tre Penne	1-0	W

Murata

1W 0D 9L · goals 8:31 · per match 0.8 for, 3.1 against

18 Sep	H	Cosmos	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	San Giovanni	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Virtus	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	Pennarossa	4-1	W
28 Aug	A	Folgore	0-5	L
26 Apr	A	Juvenes / Dogana	2-5	L
18 Apr	H	Fiorentino	1-4	L
12 Apr	A	Virtus	1-4	L
8 Apr	H	Tre Fiori	0-3	L
21 Mar	A	Pennarossa	0-2	L

Head to head

20La Fiorita wins

0draws

3Murata wins

23 meetings · goals 60:15 · last 10: 8W 0D 2L for La Fiorita

24 Jan 2026Campionato	Campionato	Murata0-2La Fiorita
10 Dec 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	La Fiorita1-2Murata
26 Nov 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Murata0-3La Fiorita
21 Sep 2025Campionato	Campionato	La Fiorita3-1Murata
27 Apr 2025Campionato	Campionato	La Fiorita2-0Murata
11 Jan 2025Campionato	Campionato	Murata0-3La Fiorita
11 May 2024Campionato	Campionato	Murata0-1La Fiorita
4 May 2024Campionato	Campionato	La Fiorita1-3Murata
10 Feb 2024Campionato	Campionato	Murata1-2La Fiorita
8 Oct 2023Campionato	Campionato	La Fiorita2-1Murata

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC

In the Campionato table, La Fiorita sit 7th with 6 points from 4 games, while Murata are 12th with 3 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	+9	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	+4	10
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	+9	9
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	+5	7
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
10	Juvenes / Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg186%1.06X11%8.5424%24.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.09 → 1.06 -2.8%X7.34 → 8.54 +16.3%219.1 → 24.4 +27.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.22	3.50	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.23	3.42	10.5%
BetVictor	1.20	2.75	19.7%
Best of all books	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Average	1.24	3.27	11.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.70	1.40	8.5%
1xBet	2.63	1.41	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.53	1.42	9.9%
BetVictor	2.10	1.36	21.1%
Best of all books	2.70	1.42	7.5%
Average	2.49	1.40	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Fiorita 45%Draw 45%Murata 10%

The statistical model rates La Fiorita at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Murata at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.06 | 8.54 | 24.38, which imply roughly 94.3% for a La Fiorita win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: La Fiorita are 7th (6 pts, 4-3 goals), Murata 12th (3 pts, 4-10).

Over their last five matches, La Fiorita averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Murata averaged 1 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : La Fiorita or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.06	8.54	24.4

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	6.25	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	8.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.49	1.40

1st half

1	X	2
1.32	3.32	15.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.12	22.5	6.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	23.0
1.5	1.06	8.00
2.5	1.24	3.27
3.5	1.60	2.05
4.5	2.24	1.47
5.5	3.80	1.21

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.06	6.10
2.75	1.27	3.17
3	1.30	2.95
3.25	1.44	2.46
3.75	1.70	1.89
4	1.86	1.71
4.25	2.05	1.63
4.75	2.54	1.41
5	2.93	1.31

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	2.35	1.47
-3.5	2.09	1.60
-3.25	1.91	1.73
-3	1.82	1.82
-2.75	1.66	1.99
-2.5	1.58	2.12

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	3.14	1.27
-4.25	2.90	1.32
-4	2.68	1.37
-2.25	1.36	2.70
-2	1.28	3.11
-1.75	1.31	2.92
-1.5	1.19	3.81
-1	1.09	5.40
0	1.01	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.10	1.67