Cailungo vs Libertas• Campionato, San-Marino

#111.0:1.319:15Today1.0:1.3#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.441XBX3.70B36521.87BFRMargin at best3.0%Books8Markets41Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.80	3.55	1.80	10.0%
Betfair	3.70	3.30	1.87	10.8%
1xBet	4.44	3.70	1.63	10.9%
Betano	3.70	3.45	1.82	11.0%
Bet365	3.90	3.70	1.70	11.5%
Marathonbet	4.33	3.70	1.61	12.2%
Pinnacle	4.29	3.58	1.63	12.6%
William Hill	4.00	3.30	1.73	13.1%
Best of all books	4.44	3.70	1.87	3.0%
Average	4.02	3.53	1.72	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CailungoLibertas

Last 10#11Table position#80.75Points per game1.253Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.01.3Goals against · last 51.350Attack rating5050Defence rating5038Form rating6338H2H rating6237Goals model6343Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:42 UTC

Cailungo

1W 1D 8L · goals 9:25 · per match 0.9 for, 2.5 against

20 Sep	A	San Giovanni	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Tre Penne	0-2	L
9 Sep	A	Pennarossa	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Folgore	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Domagnano	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	San Marino Academy	1-1	D
19 Apr	H	Virtus	1-6	L
11 Apr	A	Tre Penne	1-6	L
7 Apr	H	Pennarossa	1-2	L
21 Mar	A	Cosmos	1-2	L

Libertas

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:23 · per match 0.7 for, 2.3 against

18 Sep	H	Faetano	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Virtus	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Folgore	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Juvenes / Dogana	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Cosmos	1-1	D
29 Apr	A	Juvenes / Dogana	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Virtus	0-9	L
19 Apr	H	Tre Penne	1-3	L
12 Apr	A	Tre Fiori	0-3	L
8 Apr	H	Juvenes / Dogana	1-0	W

Head to head

1Cailungo wins

8draws

11Libertas wins

20 meetings · goals 16:30 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Cailungo

24 Jan 2026Campionato	Campionato	Cailungo1-2Libertas
21 Oct 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Libertas1-1Cailungo
23 Sep 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Cailungo1-1Libertas
19 Sep 2025Campionato	Campionato	Libertas0-1Cailungo
26 Apr 2025Campionato	Campionato	Libertas0-0Cailungo
11 Jan 2025Campionato	Campionato	Cailungo2-2Libertas
24 Feb 2024Campionato	Campionato	Cailungo0-1Libertas
4 Nov 2023Campionato	Campionato	Libertas2-1Cailungo
8 Mar 2023Campionato	Campionato	Cailungo1-2Libertas
5 Nov 2022Campionato	Campionato	Libertas1-1Cailungo

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 8 Oct 19:14 UTC

In the Campionato table, Cailungo sit 11th with 3 points from 4 games, while Libertas are 8th with 5 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	+9	12
2	Tre Penne	4	4	0	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Virtus	4	3	1	0	6:2	+4	10
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	+9	9
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	+5	7
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	+1	6
7	La Fiorita	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
10	Juvenes / Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3
15	San Marino Academy	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.02X25%3.53252%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.08 → 4.02 +30.5%X3.44 → 3.53 +2.6%22.02 → 1.72 -14.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.01	8.6%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.72	1.99	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.69	2.05	8.0%
Average	1.68	2.01	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cailungo 10%Draw 45%Libertas 45%

The statistical model rates Cailungo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Libertas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.02 | 3.53 | 1.72, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Cailungo are 11th (3 pts, 4-5 goals), Libertas 8th (5 pts, 4-5).

Over their last five matches, Cailungo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Libertas averaged 1 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Libertas and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.02	3.53	1.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.88	1.20	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.59	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
4.31	2.24	2.31

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.46	12.1	1.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.6
1.5	1.19	3.74
2.5	1.72	1.99
3.5	2.70	1.37
4.5	5.20	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.75	1.25	3.30
2	1.31	2.94
2.25	1.50	2.31
2.75	1.87	1.79
3	2.16	1.57
3.25	2.43	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.48	1.43
+0.5	1.92	1.80
+0.75	1.85	1.84
+1	1.63	2.11
+1.25	1.47	2.38
+1.5	1.37	2.69

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.40	1.01
-0.75	4.70	1.12
-0.25	3.43	1.24
0	3.30	1.25
+1.75	1.25	3.28
+2	1.14	4.40
+2.5	1.10	5.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.82	1.96