OddsFilter

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#120.6:1.01-1FT20/09 · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca0.6:0.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.52PINX3.10B36523.15PINMargin at best3.7%Books7Markets73Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 20:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.472.973.096.5%
1xBet2.442.993.086.9%
Betano2.403.053.057.2%
Bet3652.403.103.007.3%
Betfair2.303.002.9011.3%
Marathonbet2.332.862.9411.9%
William Hill2.382.752.9012.9%
Best of all books2.473.103.095.1%
Average2.392.962.999.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
Last 10#12Table position#111.20Points per game1.275Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5044Defence rating5645Form rating5538H2H rating6244Goals model5642Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Deportivo Cuenca

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

20 SepHMushuc Runa SC1-1D
13 SepALDU de Quito1-1D
7 SepHLibertad0-1L
2 SepHGuayaquil City FC1-0W
29 AugATecnico Universitario1-3L
22 AugHMushuc Runa SC0-0D
16 AugAOrense SC0-2L
11 AugHManta FC1-2L
2 AugAIndependiente del Valle0-1L
28 JulHEmelec2-1W

Mushuc Runa SC

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

20 SepADeportivo Cuenca1-1D
12 SepAGuayaquil City FC1-3L
8 SepHLeones del Norte1-1D
2 SepALDU de Quito0-0D
28 AugHDelfin SC1-0W
22 AugADeportivo Cuenca0-0D
16 AugHBarcelona SC0-0D
10 AugATecnico Universitario3-0W
1 AugAManta FC2-1W
27 JulHLibertad0-2L

Head to head

9Deportivo Cuenca wins
6draws
7Mushuc Runa SC wins

22 meetings · goals 30:24 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Deportivo Cuenca

22 Aug 2026Liga ProLiga ProDeportivo Cuenca0-0Mushuc Runa SC
25 Apr 2026Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC4-1Deportivo Cuenca
28 Jun 2025Liga ProLiga ProDeportivo Cuenca1-0Mushuc Runa SC
1 Mar 2025Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC3-1Deportivo Cuenca
19 Oct 2024Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC1-1Deportivo Cuenca
27 Apr 2024Liga ProLiga ProDeportivo Cuenca5-0Mushuc Runa SC
21 Oct 2023Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC1-1Deportivo Cuenca
13 May 2023Liga ProLiga ProDeportivo Cuenca3-0Mushuc Runa SC
22 Oct 2022Liga ProLiga ProDeportivo Cuenca3-1Mushuc Runa SC
28 May 2022Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC1-0Deportivo Cuenca

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Deportivo Cuenca sit 12th with 36 points from 30 games, while Mushuc Runa SC are 11th with 38 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.33X31%2.93231%2.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.471.535.8%
Pinnacle2.531.506.2%
Bet3652.501.506.7%
1xBet2.431.526.9%
Betfair2.451.507.5%
Marathonbet2.381.499.1%
Best of all books2.531.534.9%
Average2.461.517.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
Betano2.051.707.6%
Betfair2.001.737.8%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
1xBet2.001.718.5%
Marathonbet2.001.699.2%
Best of all books2.101.754.8%
Average2.021.718.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Cuenca 10%Draw 45%Mushuc Runa SC 45%

The statistical model rated Deportivo Cuenca at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mushuc Runa SC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 2.93 | 2.95, which imply roughly 34.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Deportivo Cuenca are 12th (36 pts, 25-37 goals), Mushuc Runa SC 11th (38 pts, 35-38).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Cuenca averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mushuc Runa SC averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mushuc Runa SC and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Facundo Ferrero

Defence

  • 23Eddie Guevara
  • 28Patricio Boolsen
  • 6Santiago Postel
  • 37Carlos Arboleda

Midfield

  • 29Matías Klimowicz
  • 8Edison Vega
  • 14Jeremy Chacon
  • 49David González
  • 43Jorge Ordóñez

Attack

  • 11Germán Rivero
Substitutes (11)
  • 12Ethan Minda
  • 53Yeltzin Erique
  • 2Ignacio Mosquera
  • 3Gian Nardelli
  • 18Mateo Piedra
  • 25Marcos Andrés López
  • 20Bryan García
  • 19Melvin Diaz
  • 5David Noboa
  • 10Romario Ibarra
  • 88Cristhian Benalcazar

Mushuc Runa SC

4-4-2

Coach: Paul Velez Ordonez Angel

Goalkeeper

  • 25Rodrigo Formento

Defence

  • 99Cristopher Angulo
  • 4Ronny Biojo
  • 50Jeremy Cusme
  • 33José Hernández

Midfield

  • 10Freddy Mina
  • 5Nicolás Dávila
  • 8Arnaldo Zambrano
  • 28Miguel Perea

Attack

  • 14Elian Caicedo
  • 7Tomson Minda
Substitutes (12)
  • 42Adonnis Pabón
  • 37José Luis Quiñones
  • 12Franklin Carabali
  • 26Kevin Peralta
  • 2José Flor
  • 56Gisson Tenorio
  • 9Renso Tufino
  • 52Derlys Gómez
  • 18Jackson González
  • 19Bryan Corozo
  • 23Lucas Lemos
  • 61Jefferson Caicedo

Match Statistics

Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
1Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal3
8Total Shots5
2Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox4
2Shots outsidebox1
2Fouls7
2Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
62%Ball Possession38%
0Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
240Total passes146
201Passes accurate107
84%Passes %73%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.392.962.99

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.521.34

Draw no bet

12
1.672.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.021.71

1st half

1X2
3.151.913.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.926.952.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.086.70
1.51.462.56
2.52.461.51
3.54.741.16
4.59.571.04
5.517.81.01
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.80
11.105.16
1.251.273.15
1.751.602.21
21.831.89
2.252.141.65
2.752.861.34
33.811.20
3.254.161.16
3.755.801.07
48.651.01
4.258.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.901.37
-0.52.401.55
-0.252.041.73
01.682.10
+0.251.472.53
+0.51.373.04
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.91.01
-29.601.02
-1.756.801.07
-1.55.271.12
-1.254.631.16
-14.201.19
+0.751.233.79
+11.095.88
+1.251.086.34
+1.51.066.87
+1.751.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.31
7.51.253.25
8.51.502.33
9.51.891.81
10.52.401.48
11.53.231.26
12.54.491.12
13.56.871.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.07
71.104.82
7.251.173.90
7.751.273.18
81.303.00
8.251.402.63
8.751.552.26
91.632.13
9.251.741.98
9.751.951.76
102.091.66
10.252.211.58
10.752.541.43
112.821.34
11.252.981.31
11.753.521.21
124.121.15
12.254.301.13
12.755.241.08
136.441.03
13.256.661.03