OddsFilter

Independiente del Valle vs Aucas• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#12.4:1.816:30Today · Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito0.8:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.40BTN26.171XBMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets83Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 20:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.574.406.102.8%
Pinnacle1.524.225.956.3%
1xBet1.533.966.176.8%
Bet3651.534.105.757.1%
Dafabet1.524.205.607.5%
William Hill1.503.705.5011.9%
Marathonbet1.463.785.9011.9%
Betfair1.444.005.5012.6%
SBO1.443.615.0317.0%
BetVictor1.403.504.8020.8%
Best of all books1.574.406.172.6%
Average1.493.955.6310.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente del ValleAucas
Last 10#1Table position#42.47Points per game1.6710Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 50.875Attack rating2531Defence rating6963Form rating3893H2H rating761Goals model3966Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 23:50 UTC

Independiente del Valle

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

25 SepAGualaceo SC2-0W
18 SepAFlamengo1-1D
13 SepALibertad3-2W
11 SepHFlamengo0-2L
5 SepHMacara3-1W
3 SepABarcelona SC1-2L
29 AugHUniversidad Catolica2-2D
26 AugHDeportes Tolima3-1W
22 AugALeones del Norte3-2W
19 AugADeportes Tolima1-0W

Aucas

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against

19 SepHMacara1-2L
12 SepAManta FC0-0D
7 SepHBarcelona SC1-1D
3 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-1D
30 AugHLibertad1-0W
26 AugALDU de Quito0-1L
23 AugADelfin SC1-0W
17 AugHLDU de Quito0-1L
12 AugALa Unión1-1D
8 AugHLeones del Norte3-0W

Head to head

13Independiente del Valle wins
5draws
5Aucas wins

23 meetings · goals 38:26 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Independiente del Valle

16 Jul 2026Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-3Independiente del Valle
14 Mar 2026Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-2Aucas
19 Jul 2025Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-1Aucas
28 Mar 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas1-2Independiente del Valle
1 Sep 2024Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-2Independiente del Valle
24 Mar 2024Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle1-1Aucas
11 Nov 2023Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-0Independiente del Valle
2 Jun 2023Liga ProLiga ProIndependiente del Valle2-0Aucas
11 Feb 2023Supercopa de EcuadorSupercopa de EcuadorIndependiente del Valle3-0Aucas
23 Jul 2022Liga ProLiga ProAucas5-0Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 74 points from 30 games, while Aucas are 4th with 50 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.49X23%3.95216%5.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 03:319 Oct 23:101 1.49X 3.952 5.63
11.50 → 1.49 -0.7%X3.98 → 3.95 -0.8%25.71 → 5.63 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.792.035.1%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.752.055.9%
1xBet1.742.027.0%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
Marathonbet1.711.989.0%
BetVictor1.591.7520.0%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.731.988.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.831.917.0%
Betano1.821.888.1%
1xBet1.821.878.4%
William Hill1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.821.849.3%
BetVictor1.651.7019.4%
Best of all books1.831.917.0%
Average1.801.849.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente del Valle 45%Draw 45%Aucas 10%

The statistical model rates Independiente del Valle at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aucas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 3.95 | 5.63, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Independiente del Valle win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Independiente del Valle are 1st (74 pts, 73-33 goals), Aucas 4th (50 pts, 33-28).

Over their last five matches, Independiente del Valle averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Aucas averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.493.955.63

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.391.20

Draw no bet

12
1.183.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.84

1st half

1X2
2.012.295.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4211.13.12

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.53
1.51.223.66
2.51.731.98
3.52.781.37
4.55.041.13
5.59.821.04
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.68
11.028.20
1.251.124.92
1.751.263.31
21.362.87
2.251.542.25
2.751.921.76
32.191.57
3.252.461.44
3.753.211.27
44.341.17
4.254.501.13
59.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.841.38
-1.52.351.51
-1.252.071.65
-11.841.87
-0.751.612.14
-0.51.492.39
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.801.02
-37.121.06
-2.755.401.11
-2.54.301.17
-2.253.921.20
-23.681.25
-0.251.343.05
01.174.60
+0.251.135.01
+0.51.155.50
+0.751.037.30
+11.0210.0
+1.51.0110.9

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.23
7.51.263.37
8.51.482.42
9.51.851.88
10.52.361.51
11.53.161.29
12.54.561.12
13.57.011.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.99
71.104.75
7.251.183.86
7.751.273.14
81.312.96
8.251.412.61
8.751.562.24
91.642.11
9.251.751.96
9.751.961.75
102.111.64
10.252.231.57
10.752.561.42
112.861.34
11.253.011.30
11.753.581.21
124.181.14
12.254.371.13
12.755.331.07
136.571.03
13.256.791.02