OddsFilter

Aucas vs Macara• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#40.8:0.41-2FT19/09 · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito1.6:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92AVGX3.23AVG23.79AVGMargin9.4%Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 1.92 | 3.23 | 3.79. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

AucasMacara
Last 10#4Table position#31.67Points per game1.706Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 51.633Attack rating6780Defence rating2050Form rating5020H2H rating8049Goals model5143Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

Aucas

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against

19 SepHMacara1-2L
12 SepAManta FC0-0D
7 SepHBarcelona SC1-1D
3 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-1D
30 AugHLibertad1-0W
26 AugALDU de Quito0-1L
23 AugADelfin SC1-0W
17 AugHLDU de Quito0-1L
12 AugALa Unión1-1D
8 AugHLeones del Norte3-0W

Macara

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

19 SepAAucas2-1W
13 SepHEmelec1-0W
5 SepAIndependiente del Valle1-3L
2 SepHManta FC4-3W
30 AugAOrense SC2-1W
25 AugALibertad0-1L
20 AugHSantos0-0D
18 AugHUniversidad Catolica1-1D
13 AugASantos1-2L
9 AugABarcelona SC2-1W

Head to head

7Aucas wins
5draws
10Macara wins

22 meetings · goals 25:32 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Aucas

26 Jul 2026Liga ProLiga ProAucas1-4Macara
5 Apr 2026Liga ProLiga ProMacara0-1Aucas
20 Dec 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-2Macara
5 Oct 2025Liga ProLiga ProMacara3-2Aucas
6 Jul 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas1-4Macara
9 Mar 2025Liga ProLiga ProMacara1-1Aucas
20 Oct 2024Liga ProLiga ProAucas3-1Macara
28 Apr 2024Liga ProLiga ProMacara0-2Aucas
21 Aug 2022Liga ProLiga ProMacara1-1Aucas
12 Apr 2022Liga ProLiga ProAucas2-0Macara

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Aucas sit 4th with 50 points from 30 games, while Macara are 3rd with 51 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.92X28%3.23224%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aucas 10%Draw 45%Macara 45%

The statistical model rated Aucas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Macara at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.23 | 3.79, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Aucas are 4th (50 pts, 33-28 goals), Macara 3rd (51 pts, 41-33).

Over their last five matches, Aucas averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Macara averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Macara.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aucas

4-1-4-1

Coach: Norberto Araujo

Goalkeeper

  • 13Hamilton Piedra

Defence

  • 37Alex Zova
  • 16Luis Gustavino
  • 4Mateo Burdisso
  • 28Ederson Quiñónez

Midfield

  • 6Agostino Spina
  • 10Ayrton Preciado
  • 21Piero Guzmán
  • 18Andres Mena
  • 14Stiven Tapiero

Attack

  • 29Luis Arroyo
Substitutes (11)
  • 1Iván Chaves
  • 31Byron Carabalí
  • 2Santiago Morales
  • 57Maverick Vera
  • 5Thiago Serpa
  • 9Rafael Monti
  • 20Diego Espinosa
  • 17Cristhoper Zambrano
  • 11Alexander Bolaños
  • 30Brian Oyola
  • 7José Andrade

Macara

4-2-3-1

Coach: Guillermo Sanguinetti

Goalkeeper

  • 1Rodrigo Rodríguez

Defence

  • 25Denilson Bolaños
  • 4John Jiménez
  • 14José Luis Marrufo
  • 27Jordán Mohor

Midfield

  • 5Jean Carlos Estacio
  • 16Jose Cazares
  • 28Agustin Campana
  • 15Martin Tello
  • 20Mateo Viera

Attack

  • 9Franco Posse
Substitutes (11)
  • 12Darwin Cuero
  • 3Juan Espinoza
  • 11Leonar Espinoza
  • 26Marlon Medranda
  • 13Luis Ayala
  • 50Carlos Caicedo
  • 87Jose Klinger
  • 30Tommy Chamba
  • 10Matías Miranda
  • 22Luca Ferro
  • 19Patricio Ramos

Match Statistics

AucasMacara
0Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls17
6Corner Kicks1
6Offsides1
66%Ball Possession34%
0Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
564Total passes290
494Passes accurate206
88%Passes %71%