Aucas vs
Macara• Liga Pro, Ecuador
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.92 | 3.23 | 3.79. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC
Aucas
3W 4D 3L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against
| 19 Sep | H | Macara | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Manta FC | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Sep | H | Barcelona SC | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Sep | A | Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Libertad | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Aug | A | LDU de Quito | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Delfin SC | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | LDU de Quito | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Aug | A | La Unión | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Leones del Norte | 3-0 | W |
Macara
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against
| 19 Sep | A | Aucas | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Emelec | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Independiente del Valle | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Manta FC | 4-3 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Orense SC | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | Libertad | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Aug | H | Santos | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Aug | H | Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Aug | A | Santos | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | Barcelona SC | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
22 meetings · goals 25:32 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Aucas
| 26 Jul 2026Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Aucas1-4Macara |
| 5 Apr 2026Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Macara0-1Aucas |
| 20 Dec 2025Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Aucas0-2Macara |
| 5 Oct 2025Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Macara3-2Aucas |
| 6 Jul 2025Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Aucas1-4Macara |
| 9 Mar 2025Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Macara1-1Aucas |
| 20 Oct 2024Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Aucas3-1Macara |
| 28 Apr 2024Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Macara0-2Aucas |
| 21 Aug 2022Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Macara1-1Aucas |
| 12 Apr 2022Liga Pro | Liga Pro | Aucas2-0Macara |
Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC
In the Liga Pro table, Aucas sit 4th with 50 points from 30 games, while Macara are 3rd with 51 points from 30.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Aucas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Macara at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.23 | 3.79, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga Pro table: Aucas are 4th (50 pts, 33-28 goals), Macara 3rd (51 pts, 41-33).
Over their last five matches, Aucas averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Macara averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Macara.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Aucas
4-1-4-1Coach: Norberto Araujo
Goalkeeper
- 13Hamilton Piedra
Defence
- 37Alex Zova
- 16Luis Gustavino
- 4Mateo Burdisso
- 28Ederson Quiñónez
Midfield
- 6Agostino Spina
- 10Ayrton Preciado
- 21Piero Guzmán
- 18Andres Mena
- 14Stiven Tapiero
Attack
- 29Luis Arroyo
Substitutes (11)
- 1Iván Chaves
- 31Byron Carabalí
- 2Santiago Morales
- 57Maverick Vera
- 5Thiago Serpa
- 9Rafael Monti
- 20Diego Espinosa
- 17Cristhoper Zambrano
- 11Alexander Bolaños
- 30Brian Oyola
- 7José Andrade
Macara
4-2-3-1Coach: Guillermo Sanguinetti
Goalkeeper
- 1Rodrigo Rodríguez
Defence
- 25Denilson Bolaños
- 4John Jiménez
- 14José Luis Marrufo
- 27Jordán Mohor
Midfield
- 5Jean Carlos Estacio
- 16Jose Cazares
- 28Agustin Campana
- 15Martin Tello
- 20Mateo Viera
Attack
- 9Franco Posse
Substitutes (11)
- 12Darwin Cuero
- 3Juan Espinoza
- 11Leonar Espinoza
- 26Marlon Medranda
- 13Luis Ayala
- 50Carlos Caicedo
- 87Jose Klinger
- 30Tommy Chamba
- 10Matías Miranda
- 22Luca Ferro
- 19Patricio Ramos