CerrovsPenarol• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Cerro13th32 pts
Penarol1st52 pts
Cerro13th32 pts
Penarol1st52 ptsIn the Primera División table, Cerro sit 13th with 32 points from 28 games, while Penarol are 1st with 52 points from 27 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Cerro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Penarol at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.62 | 3.78 | 1.48, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Cerro are 13th (32 pts, 22-41 goals), Penarol 1st (52 pts, 44-22).
Over their last five matches, Cerro averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Penarol averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol.
Cerro vs Penarol — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 52 |
| 2 |  Racing Montevideo | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 52 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Juventud | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
6.62
X
3.78
2
1.48