Ceará U20 vs Ferroviario U20• Copa do Brasil U20, Brazil

2.0:1.01-0FTToday1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X4.91PIN29.151XBMargin at best4.8%Books1Markets8Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 00:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.36	4.50	6.50	11.1%
Best of all books	1.36	4.50	6.50	11.1%
Average	1.36	4.50	6.50	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ceará U20Ferroviario U20

Last 107Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating10050Form rating5038H2H rating620Goals model055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 14:01 UTC

Ceará U20

5W 5D 0L · goals 25:7 · per match 2.5 for, 0.7 against

1 Oct	A	Fortaleza U20	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	Atlético Piauiense U20	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Fortaleza U20	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Tirol U20	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Tirol U20	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	Vila Real FC U20	3-1	W
25 Jul	A	Vila Real FC U20	2-0	W
18 Jul	H	Quixadá U20	3-0	W
8 Jul	H	Fortaleza U20	0-0	D
3 Jul	A	Juazeiro EC U20	10-0	W

Ferroviario U20

5W 2D 3L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

10 Sep	H	Esporte de Patos U20	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Fortaleza U20	0-3	L
25 Jul	H	Fortaleza U20	0-1	L
18 Jul	A	Horizonte U20	1-0	W
20 Jun	H	Anjos do Céu U20	1-0	W
6 Jun	H	Tiangua CE U20	2-1	W
23 May	H	Ceará U20	0-0	D
9 May	A	Vila Real FC U20	0-4	L
29 Apr	H	Caucaia U20	1-0	W
26 Apr	A	Tirol U20	1-1	D

Head to head

1Ceará U20 wins

2draws

2Ferroviario U20 wins

5 meetings · goals 9:5 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Ceará U20

23 May 2026Cearense U20	Cearense U20	Ferroviario U200-0Ceará U20
2 Oct 2025Cearense U20	Cearense U20	Ceará U200-1Ferroviario U20
28 Sep 2025Cearense U20	Cearense U20	Ferroviario U202-1Ceará U20
14 Sep 2024Cearense U20	Cearense U20	Ceará U202-2Ferroviario U20
7 Sep 2024Cearense U20	Cearense U20	Ferroviario U200-6Ceará U20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.24X18%5.02210%9.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.29 -5.1%X4.50 → 4.68 +4.0%26.50 → 8.16 +25.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.62	2.25	6.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ceará U20 35%Draw 35%Ferroviario U20 30%

The statistical model rated Ceará U20 at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ferroviario U20 at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.24 | 5.02 | 9.06, which imply roughly 80.6% for a Ceará U20 win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Ceará U20 averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ferroviario U20 averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ceará U20 or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	4.50	6.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.75	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.00

1st half

1	X	2
1.80	2.50	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	13.0	3.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.62	2.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	1.80	2.00