Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese• Coppa Italia Serie D, Italy

1-0FTToday · Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.961XBX4.251XB21.53B365Margin at best3.3%Books4Markets39

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	5.25	3.60	1.60	9.3%
1xBet	5.07	3.64	1.57	10.9%
Bet365	4.75	3.70	1.57	11.8%
Marathonbet	4.95	3.64	1.55	12.2%
Best of all books	5.25	3.70	1.60	8.6%
Average	5.00	3.65	1.57	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sestri LevantePistoiese

Last 104Form pts · last 5150Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 11:31 UTC

Sestri Levante

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	A	Borgosesia	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Biellese	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Lascaris	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Fezzanese	0-3	L
13 Sep	A	Alessandria	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Asti	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Sampdoria U20	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Genoa U20	1-1	D
3 May	H	Sanremese	0-2	L
26 Apr	A	Celle Varazze	0-1	L

Pistoiese

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:5 · per match 2.4 for, 0.5 against

4 Oct	A	USD Casatese	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Sant'Angelo	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Varesina	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Arconatese	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Crema	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Solbiatese	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Seravezza	0-0	D
10 May	H	Piacenza	1-3	L
3 May	H	Cittadella Vis Modena	5-0	W
26 Apr	A	Desenzano Calvina	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sestri Levante and Pistoiese on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.06X22%4.12263%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.01 → 6.06 +21.0%X3.65 → 4.07 +11.5%21.57 → 1.42 -9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.95	1.76	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Average	1.92	1.75	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sestri Levante 33%Draw 33%Pistoiese 33%

The statistical model rated Sestri Levante at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Pistoiese at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.06 | 4.12 | 1.42, which imply roughly 16.5% for a Sestri Levante win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Sestri Levante averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Pistoiese averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.01	3.65	1.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.14	1.11	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.83	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
5.47	2.17	2.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.06	8.75	1.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.00
1.5	1.29	3.14
2.5	1.95	1.76
3.5	3.39	1.25
4.5	7.10	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.75	1.35	2.74
2	1.47	2.38
2.25	1.71	1.97
2.75	2.18	1.56
3	2.65	1.38
3.25	2.97	1.30
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.60	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.68	1.37
+0.5	2.21	1.57
+0.75	1.93	1.77
+1	1.69	2.04
+1.25	1.48	2.36
+1.5	1.38	2.62

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.30	1.02
-1	8.90	1.01
-0.25	4.25	1.15
0	3.74	1.19
+1.75	1.26	3.20
+2	1.14	4.45
+2.5	1.10	5.20