Diriangén vs Walter Ferretti• Primera Division, Nicaragua

#22.2:0.82-4FT11/101.0:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BFRX4.28PIN25.531XBMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets47Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 22:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.54	4.27	5.53	6.4%
Betano	1.57	4.10	4.85	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.49	4.28	5.33	9.2%
BetVictor	1.50	4.10	5.25	10.1%
Dafabet	1.53	4.10	4.90	10.2%
Bet365	1.55	4.00	4.75	10.6%
William Hill	1.53	3.90	5.00	11.0%
Betfair	1.57	3.80	4.60	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.46	4.05	5.25	12.2%
Best of all books	1.57	4.28	5.53	5.1%
Average	1.53	4.07	5.05	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DiriangénWalter Ferretti

Last 10#2Table position#62.25Points per game1.1710Form pts · last 582.2Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.669Attack rating3167Defence rating3387Form rating1393H2H rating779Goals model2178Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 19:30 UTC

Diriangén

6W 1D 3L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Walter Ferretti	2-4	L
7 Oct	A	San Marcos	2-1	W
10 Sep	A	H&H Export	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Matagalpa	3-0	W
3 Sep	A	Managua	3-3	D
30 Aug	H	Jalapa	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Real Estelí	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Xelajú	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Firpo	0-4	L
9 Aug	H	Rancho Santana	2-1	W

Walter Ferretti

4W 2D 4L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

15 Oct	A	Matagalpa	5-1	W
11 Oct	A	Diriangén	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Jalapa	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Managua	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	H&H Export	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	San Marcos	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	UNAN Managua	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Rancho Santana	3-1	W
8 Aug	A	Real Estelí	1-4	L
3 Aug	H	Matagalpa	4-1	W

Head to head

29Diriangén wins

10draws

16Walter Ferretti wins

55 meetings · goals 79:60 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Diriangén

24 Jul 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti1-3Diriangén
8 Mar 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti2-5Diriangén
3 Feb 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Diriangén3-1Walter Ferretti
17 Oct 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Diriangén3-0Walter Ferretti
28 Aug 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti1-1Diriangén
17 Apr 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Diriangén1-0Walter Ferretti
7 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti0-2Diriangén
2 Nov 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Walter Ferretti0-2Diriangén
26 Aug 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Diriangén2-1Walter Ferretti
26 Apr 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Diriangén1-0Walter Ferretti

Primera Division tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 09:11 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Diriangén sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, while Walter Ferretti are 6th with 14 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Managua	12	10	2	0	37:12	+25	32
2	Diriangén	12	8	3	1	25:13	+12	27
3	Real Estelí	12	6	4	2	22:9	+13	22
4	UNAN Managua	12	6	3	3	14:11	+3	21
5	H&H Export	11	5	2	4	13:17	-4	17
6	Walter Ferretti	12	4	2	6	23:21	+2	14
7	San Marcos	12	3	2	7	12:19	-7	11
8	Matagalpa	11	3	0	8	6:25	-19	9
9	Jalapa	12	1	3	8	7:18	-11	6
10	Rancho Santana	12	1	3	8	9:23	-14	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.50X22%4.14217%5.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.53 +7.7%X4.33 → 4.07 -6.0%25.25 → 5.05 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Betano	1.57	2.22	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.54	2.33	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.61	2.14	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Diriangén 50%Draw 50%Walter Ferretti 0%

The statistical model rated Diriangén at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Walter Ferretti at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.14 | 5.21, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Diriangén win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Diriangén are 2nd (27 pts, 25-13 goals), Walter Ferretti 6th (14 pts, 23-21).

Over their last five matches, Diriangén averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Walter Ferretti averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Diriangén.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	4.07	5.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.31	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.41	5.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.45	16.0	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.8
1.5	1.14	4.45
2.5	1.54	2.33
3.5	2.35	1.50
4.5	4.05	1.18
5.5	7.10	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.74
2.25	1.38	2.81
2.75	1.70	2.03
3	1.86	1.82
3.25	2.10	1.63
3.75	2.72	1.37
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.72	1.20

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.80	1.38
-1.5	2.36	1.52
-1.25	2.03	1.73
-1	1.85	1.87
-0.75	1.67	2.08
-0.5	1.48	2.52

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.5	4.30	1.15
-2.25	3.82	1.18
-2	3.50	1.22
-0.25	1.32	2.97
0	1.19	3.93
+0.25	1.12	4.70
+1	1.05	7.30
+1.5	1.01	9.70