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Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik• Úrvalsdeild, Iceland

#61.2:2.62-3FT17/102.0:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.00MARX4.91PIN21.68PINMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets97Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.924.911.685.4%
1xBet3.984.851.617.9%
Marathonbet4.004.851.598.5%
William Hill3.704.331.6510.7%
Bet3653.754.751.5711.4%
BetVictor3.404.001.5319.8%
Best of all books4.004.911.684.9%
Average3.794.611.6010.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KeflavikKR Reykjavik
Last 10#6Table position#31.27Points per game2.001Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.02.6Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6338Defence rating6213Form rating8820H2H rating8047Goals model5331Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Keflavik

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

11 OctABreidablik1-3L
20 SepHFram Reykjavik2-2D
14 SepAVikingur Reykjavik1-4L
5 SepHValur Reykjavik1-2L
30 AugAFH hafnarfjordur1-2L
23 AugHIBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0W
15 AugAThor Akureyri2-0W
9 AugAStjarnan0-1L
5 AugHKA Akureyri3-0W
24 JulAVikingur Reykjavik1-5L

KR Reykjavik

5W 3D 2L · goals 29:17 · per match 2.9 for, 1.7 against

10 OctAFram Reykjavik2-1W
19 SepHVikingur Reykjavik1-2L
13 SepHIA Akranes5-1W
6 SepAIA Akranes1-3L
1 SepHVikingur Reykjavik1-1D
23 AugAKA Akureyri5-3W
16 AugHBreidablik3-3D
10 AugAFram Reykjavik5-2W
5 AugAFH hafnarfjordur1-1D
19 JulHStjarnan5-0W

Head to head

1Keflavik wins
3draws
9KR Reykjavik wins

13 meetings · goals 8:24 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Keflavik

28 Jun 2026ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKeflavik3-2KR Reykjavik
12 Apr 2026ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKR Reykjavik3-2Keflavik
3 Feb 2025League CupLeague CupKR Reykjavik2-0Keflavik
28 Jun 2023ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKR Reykjavik2-0Keflavik
15 Apr 2023ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKeflavik0-2KR Reykjavik
15 Aug 2022ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKeflavik0-0KR Reykjavik
16 May 2022ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKR Reykjavik1-0Keflavik
26 Feb 2022League CupLeague CupKR Reykjavik1-1Keflavik
11 Sep 2021ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKeflavik0-2KR Reykjavik
12 Jul 2021ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeildKR Reykjavik1-0Keflavik

Úrvalsdeild tableÚrvalsdeildupdated 18 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the Úrvalsdeild table, Keflavik sit 6th with 28 points from 22 games, while KR Reykjavik are 3rd with 44 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653
2Fram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445
3KR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544
4Breidablik2286843:41+230
5IA Akranes2286839:41-230
6Keflavik22841033:38-528
7Stjarnan22841042:50-828
8Valur Reykjavik22831139:45-627
9FH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221
10Thor Akureyri22631322:50-2821
11KA Akureyri22551235:48-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.79X20%4.61257%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 11:311 3.79X 4.612 1.60
14.05 → 3.79 -6.4%X4.61 → 4.61 0.0%21.58 → 1.60 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.155.465.3%
Bet3651.145.007.7%
1xBet1.105.2010.1%
Marathonbet1.105.2010.1%
BetVictor1.093.5020.3%
Best of all books1.155.465.3%
Average1.124.8710.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.224.007.0%
William Hill1.224.007.0%
1xBet1.174.388.3%
Marathonbet1.174.259.0%
BetVictor1.172.9020.0%
Best of all books1.224.384.8%
Average1.193.919.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Keflavik 10%Draw 45%KR Reykjavik 45%

The statistical model rated Keflavik at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and KR Reykjavik at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.79 | 4.61 | 1.60, which imply roughly 21.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Úrvalsdeild table: Keflavik are 6th (28 pts, 33-38 goals), KR Reykjavik 3rd (44 pts, 74-49).

Over their last five matches, Keflavik averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; KR Reykjavik averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or KR Reykjavik and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.794.611.60

Double chance

1XX212
2.151.211.13

Draw no bet

12
2.921.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.193.91

1st half

1X2
3.803.061.98

2nd half

1X2
3.673.431.82

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.2315.115.3
HT X11.29.935.43
HT 226.714.82.22

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2534.01.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–30.5
1.51.0311.0
2.51.124.87
3.51.352.76
4.51.841.81
5.52.691.36
6.54.301.15
7.56.851.07
8.510.01.03
9.515.01.01
10.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.029.30
2.751.114.85
31.144.45
3.251.253.29
3.751.462.36
41.512.24
4.251.681.97
4.752.011.66
52.261.49
5.252.541.42
5.753.211.27
63.981.17
6.254.301.15
77.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.501.47
+0.52.131.60
+0.751.951.71
+11.791.90
+1.251.602.11
+1.51.502.30
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.401.03
-16.651.05
-0.754.631.15
-0.53.551.27
-0.253.421.27
03.091.33
+1.751.402.73
+21.293.31
+2.251.243.50
+2.51.213.79
+2.751.144.65
+31.086.18
+3.51.046.85
+41.019.60
+4.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.066.40
9.51.164.15
10.51.332.94
11.51.572.23
12.51.941.80
13.52.401.50
14.53.081.30
15.54.151.16
16.55.801.07
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.046.21
91.055.98
9.251.104.83
9.751.173.94
101.183.76
10.251.253.25
10.751.352.74
111.402.63
11.251.462.38
11.751.602.11
121.752.00
12.251.801.88
12.752.021.71
132.181.62
13.252.251.54
13.752.521.41
142.771.36
14.252.901.32
14.753.361.24
153.821.18
15.253.981.16
15.754.721.10
165.581.06
16.255.761.05

Next Úrvalsdeild matches

19 OctFram Reykjavik – IA Akranes

All Úrvalsdeild fixtures and the table

Latest Úrvalsdeild results

17 OctThor Akureyri 3-1 Stjarnan
17 OctValur Reykjavik 4-1 KA Akureyri
16 OctBreidablik 1-2 Vikingur Reykjavik
16 OctIBV Vestmannaeyjar 3-1 FH hafnarfjordur
11 OctVikingur Reykjavik 2-2 IA Akranes
11 OctBreidablik 3-1 Keflavik