Bohemians vs Waterford• FAI Cup, Ireland

2.5:0.50-2FTToday · Dalymount Park, Dublin2.3:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.251XB25.621XBMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets70Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.59	4.20	4.90	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.59	4.11	4.82	8.0%
1xBet	1.50	4.25	5.62	8.0%
Betano	1.65	3.95	4.50	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	4.10	5.10	8.5%
Bet365	1.60	4.10	4.50	9.1%
Betfair	1.55	4.00	4.75	10.6%
William Hill	1.50	3.90	5.00	12.3%
SBO	1.60	3.72	4.22	13.1%
BetVictor	1.50	3.50	4.10	19.6%
Best of all books	1.65	4.25	5.62	1.9%
Average	1.56	3.98	4.75	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BohemiansWaterford

Last 1011Form pts · last 582.5Goals for · last 52.30.5Goals against · last 50.742Attack rating5867Defence rating3331Form rating6971H2H rating290Goals model054Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bohemians

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

2 Oct	A	Dundalk	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Bohemians 1905	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	Drogheda United	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Galway United	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	St Patrick's Athl.	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Sligo Rovers	3-0	W
21 Aug	H	Derry City	5-3	W
16 Aug	H	Longford Town	4-0	W
13 Aug	A	FC Midtjylland	2-3	L
9 Aug	A	Waterford	1-3	L

Waterford

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

18 Sep	A	Shamrock Rovers	2-3	L
14 Sep	H	Derry City	2-2	D
11 Sep	H	Dundalk	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Sligo Rovers	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	St Patrick's Athl.	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	Sligo Rovers	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Athlone Town	2-1	W
9 Aug	H	Bohemians	3-1	W
2 Aug	H	Shelbourne	1-0	W
25 Jul	A	Galway United	0-0	D

Head to head

9Bohemians wins

4draws

10Waterford wins

23 meetings · goals 29:25 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Bohemians

9 Aug 2026Premier Division	Premier Division	Waterford3-1Bohemians
6 Apr 2026Premier Division	Premier Division	Bohemians1-1Waterford
6 Mar 2026Premier Division	Premier Division	Waterford0-1Bohemians
30 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Waterford1-4Bohemians
19 Sep 2025Premier Division	Premier Division	Bohemians2-1Waterford
20 Jun 2025Premier Division	Premier Division	Waterford2-1Bohemians
2 May 2025Premier Division	Premier Division	Bohemians1-2Waterford
7 Mar 2025Premier Division	Premier Division	Waterford0-3Bohemians
25 Oct 2024Premier Division	Premier Division	Waterford1-1Bohemians
9 Aug 2024Premier Division	Premier Division	Bohemians2-3Waterford

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.52X23%4.03218%5.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.61 → 1.56 -3.1%X3.85 → 3.98 +3.4%24.54 → 4.75 +4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
Pinnacle	1.58	2.31	6.6%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.27	7.3%
1xBet	1.56	2.31	7.4%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.46	1.94	20.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.31	5.8%
Average	1.56	2.24	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.64	2.13	7.9%
Betano	1.60	2.18	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.14	8.5%
BetVictor	1.47	1.93	19.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.62	2.10	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bohemians 45%Draw 45%Waterford 10%

The statistical model rated Bohemians at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Waterford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.03 | 5.12, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Bohemians win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Bohemians averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Waterford averaged 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bohemians or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.56	3.98	4.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.27	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.34	4.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	14.9	2.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.5
1.5	1.16	4.27
2.5	1.56	2.24
3.5	2.40	1.48
4.5	4.15	1.17
5.5	7.18	1.05
6.5	10.2	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
1.25	1.05	6.48
1.75	1.20	3.86
2	1.25	3.24
2.25	1.39	2.58
2.75	1.69	2.00
3	1.89	1.77
3.25	2.09	1.59
3.75	2.80	1.36
4	3.46	1.23
4.25	3.86	1.19
4.75	5.23	1.10
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.38	1.47
-1.25	2.11	1.59
-1	1.96	1.76
-0.75	1.67	2.03
-0.5	1.54	2.23
-0.25	1.35	2.72

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.60	1.01
-3	8.25	1.02
-2.75	5.67	1.10
-2.5	4.40	1.16
-2.25	4.03	1.19
-2	3.62	1.22
-1.75	2.87	1.36
0	1.20	3.93
+0.25	1.15	4.51
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.07	6.70
+1	1.01	9.80
+1.5	1.04	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.58
8.5	1.29	3.05
9.5	1.55	2.26
10.5	1.94	1.81
11.5	2.41	1.48
12.5	3.22	1.26
13.5	4.58	1.11
14.5	6.92	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.23
8	1.15	4.16
9	1.37	2.74
10	1.70	2.02
11	2.17	1.60
12	2.92	1.32
13	4.22	1.14
14	6.50	1.03