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Concepción vs Curico Unido• Copa Chile, Chile

2.0:0.62-0FT27/09 · Estadio Ester Roa1.6:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.10B36527.10BTNMargin at best6.5%Books1Markets26Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 12:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.314.909.507.3%
Best of all books1.314.909.507.3%
Average1.314.909.507.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ConcepciónCurico Unido
Last 107Form pts · last 532.0Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4475Defence rating2560Form rating4088H2H rating1362Goals model3870Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Concepción

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

11 OctHUnion La Calera1-1D
4 OctAO'Higgins0-2L
30 SepHO'Higgins0-1L
27 SepHCurico Unido2-0W
23 SepACurico Unido4-0W
13 SepAColo Colo1-1D
5 SepHA. Italiano0-1L
30 AugANublense1-0W
23 AugHCoquimbo Unido1-1D
16 AugACobresal2-0W

Curico Unido

3W 1D 6L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

10 OctASantiago Wanderers2-1W
3 OctAMagallanes0-1L
27 SepAConcepción0-2L
23 SepHConcepción0-4L
13 SepASan Marcos de Arica0-3L
8 SepHUnion Espanola2-1W
5 SepAD. Puerto Montt0-2L
30 AugHRecoleta0-0D
23 AugHUnion San Felipe2-0W
17 AugADeportes Copiapo0-4L

Head to head

1Concepción wins
1draws
0Curico Unido wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Concepción

10 Aug 2025Primera BPrimera BConcepción0-0Curico Unido
30 Mar 2025Primera BPrimera BCurico Unido2-3Concepción

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.31X20%4.57210%9.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Sep 14:3127 Sep 17:111 1.43X 3.932 6.82
11.31 → 1.43 +9.2%X4.90 → 3.93 -19.8%29.50 → 6.82 -28.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.831.955.9%
Best of all books1.831.955.9%
Average1.831.955.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.321.557.6%
Best of all books2.321.557.6%
Average2.321.557.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Concepción 45%Draw 45%Curico Unido 10%

The statistical model rated Concepción at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Curico Unido at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 4.57 | 9.11, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Concepción win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Concepción averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Curico Unido averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Concepción or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.314.909.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.083.551.16

Draw no bet

12
1.096.50

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.321.55

1st half

1X2
1.782.358.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.25
1.51.283.50
2.51.831.95
3.53.001.36
4.55.201.14
5.58.751.05
6.512.01.02
4 more lines
LineOverUnder
2.251.622.25
2.752.051.75
32.451.53
3.252.751.44

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.621.47
-1.752.151.67
-1.51.911.87
-1.251.702.12
-11.472.65

Next Copa Chile matches

21 OctUniversidad de Chile – Antofagasta

All Copa Chile fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Chile results

7 OctCoquimbo Unido 2-1 Cobreloa
7 OctAntofagasta 2-0 Universidad de Chile
4 OctO'Higgins 2-0 Concepción
30 SepConcepción 0-1 O'Higgins
29 SepD. Puerto Montt 0-1 Colo Colo
27 SepDeportes Santa Cruz 1-3 O'Higgins