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Spezia vs Livorno• Coppa Italia Serie C, Italy

3.5:0.517:00Tomorrow · Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia2.0:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.69DAFX3.55DAF25.00DAFMargin at best7.3%Books1Markets1Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 05:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.693.555.007.3%
Best of all books1.693.555.007.3%
Average1.693.555.007.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SpeziaLivorno
Last 1013Form pts · last 553.5Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 50.564Attack rating3650Defence rating5050Form rating50100H2H rating00Goals model10064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:01 UTC

Spezia

9W 1D 0L · goals 20:4 · per match 2.0 for, 0.4 against

24 OctHLatina1-1D
18 OctARavenna1-0W
10 OctHGubbio2-0W
4 OctAReggiana1-0W
27 SepAPescara2-1W
21 SepHVis Pesaro3-1W
16 SepAPerugia3-0W
12 SepHLivorno2-0W
6 SepASambenedettese2-1W
2 SepHVado3-0W

Livorno

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

24 OctASambenedettese1-2L
16 OctHGrosseto4-4D
11 OctAForli1-1D
3 OctHPescara0-1L
26 SepHPianese3-2W
21 SepAGuidonia Montecelio 19371-1D
16 SepHVado3-2W
12 SepASpezia0-2L
6 SepHAtalanta II1-0W
3 SepANovara0-0D

Head to head

5Spezia wins
0draws
0Livorno wins

5 meetings · goals 11:1 · last 5: 5W 0D 0L for Spezia

12 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone BSerie C - Girone BSpezia2-0Livorno
13 Jul 2020Serie BSerie BLivorno0-1Spezia
7 Dec 2019Serie BSerie BSpezia2-0Livorno
27 Feb 2019Serie BSerie BSpezia3-0Livorno
7 Oct 2018Serie BSerie BLivorno1-3Spezia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.69X26%3.55219%5.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spezia 45%Draw 45%Livorno 10%

The statistical model rates Spezia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Livorno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.55 | 5.00, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Spezia win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Spezia averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Livorno averaged 2 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Spezia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.693.555.00

Next Coppa Italia Serie C matches

27 OctTeam Altamura – Gubbio
27 OctPotenza – Bari
27 OctSavoia – Sorrento
28 OctDolomiti Bellunesi – Desenzano Calvina
28 OctAthletic Carpi – Ravenna
28 OctCampobasso FC – Latina

All Coppa Italia Serie C fixtures and the table