Kitakyushu vs 
Nagoya Grampus• J-League Cup, Japan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 16:22 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 7.88 | 5.58 | 1.30 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 9.15 | 5.30 | 1.28 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 9.10 | 5.30 | 1.27 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.25 | 1.25 | 9.6% |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.80 | 1.29 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 7.70 | 4.90 | 1.29 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.27 | 11.2% |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 9.50 | 5.58 | 1.30 | 5.4% |
| Average | 8.35 | 5.20 | 1.27 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC
Kitakyushu
3W 2D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against
| 10 Oct | A | Nara Club | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Kochi United | 2-0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Nagoya Grampus | 1-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kagoshima United | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Sagamihara | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Gainare Tottori | 2-4 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | FC Ryukyu | 0-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Ehime FC | 2-4 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Iwaki | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Matsumoto Yamaga | 1-1 | D |
Nagoya Grampus
4W 1D 5L · goals 15:19 · per match 1.5 for, 1.9 against
| 14 Oct | H | Fagiano Okayama | 3-3 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Kawasaki Frontale | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Kitakyushu | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Tokyo | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | V-varen Nagasaki | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Machida Zelvia | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | A | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Fagiano Okayama | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Gainare Tottori | 1-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Gamba Osaka | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Kitakyushu and Nagoya Grampus on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 2.43 | 6.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.29 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.52 | 2.22 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.54 | 2.43 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.36 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.83 | 7.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.81 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.80 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.80 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.83 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Kitakyushu at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Nagoya Grampus at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.33 | 5.79 | 1.23, which imply roughly 10.7% for a Kitakyushu win versus the model's 33%.
Over their last five matches, Kitakyushu averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Nagoya Grampus averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: No predictions available.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8.35 | 5.20 | 1.27 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.37 | 1.05 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 6.62 | 1.08 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.80 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 7.74 | 2.65 | 1.68 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.66 | 17.5 | 1.27 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 16.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.96 |
| 2.5 | 1.53 | 2.36 |
| 3.5 | 2.32 | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 4.09 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.68 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 16.3 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.05 | 6.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.15 | 4.22 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 3.65 |
| 2.25 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
| 2.75 | 1.64 | 2.09 |
| 3 | 1.83 | 1.84 |
| 3.25 | 2.06 | 1.65 |
| 3.75 | 2.68 | 1.39 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.75 | 4.82 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1 | 2.75 | 1.39 |
| +1.25 | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| +1.75 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| +2 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| +2.25 | 1.43 | 2.59 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| -0.25 | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| 0 | 7.00 | 1.06 |
| +0.25 | 4.53 | 1.15 |
| +0.5 | 3.34 | 1.32 |
| +0.75 | 3.13 | 1.31 |
| +2.5 | 1.35 | 2.88 |
| +2.75 | 1.25 | 3.43 |
| +3 | 1.15 | 4.60 |
| +3.25 | 1.13 | 4.92 |
| +3.5 | 1.12 | 5.39 |
| +3.75 | 1.07 | 6.96 |
| +4 | 1.01 | 10.0 |