TPV vs FC jazz• Ykkönen, Finland

#91.2:1.61-3FT26/09 · Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere1.6:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX3.90B36522.22PINMargin at best6.1%Books7Markets47Rating28 · 73Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.82	3.67	2.22	7.8%
1xBet	2.69	3.78	2.13	10.6%
Betfair	2.60	3.90	2.15	10.6%
Betano	2.55	3.80	2.18	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.63	3.78	2.11	11.9%
Bet365	2.55	3.80	2.15	12.0%
William Hill	2.70	3.50	2.15	12.1%
Best of all books	2.82	3.90	2.22	6.1%
Average	2.65	3.75	2.16	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TPVFC jazz

Last 10#9Table position#61.08Points per game1.567Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.643Attack rating5727Defence rating7341Form rating597H2H rating9340Goals model6028Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Sep 14:41 UTC

TPV

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

20 Sep	A	Inter Turku II	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	KuPS Akatemia	4-2	W
29 Aug	H	PKKU	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	Inter Turku II	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Tampere United	1-1	D
11 Aug	H	SalPa	1-1	D
5 Aug	A	OLS	2-4	L
1 Aug	H	Rops	6-3	W
24 Jul	A	FC jazz	0-4	L
18 Jul	H	KuPS Akatemia	3-1	W

FC jazz

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

19 Sep	H	VJS	0-2	L
11 Sep	H	KPV-j	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Inter Turku II	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	VJS	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	SalPa	2-0	W
9 Aug	H	OLS	1-1	D
5 Aug	A	Rops	2-2	D
30 Jul	H	KuPS Akatemia	2-2	D
24 Jul	H	TPV	4-0	W
18 Jul	A	JJK	3-1	W

Head to head

4TPV wins

4draws

5FC jazz wins

13 meetings · goals 12:22 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for TPV

24 Jul 2026Ykkönen	Ykkönen	FC jazz4-0TPV
2 May 2026Ykkönen	Ykkönen	TPV0-2FC jazz
20 Aug 2021Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	FC jazz2-1TPV
3 Jun 2021Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	TPV0-0FC jazz
31 Oct 2020Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	FC jazz6-0TPV
28 Aug 2020Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	FC jazz2-3TPV
11 Aug 2020Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	TPV1-1FC jazz
15 Feb 2020Kakkosen Cup	Kakkosen Cup	FC jazz0-1TPV
12 Aug 2017Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	FC jazz2-1TPV
27 May 2017Kakkonen - Lohko B	Kakkonen - Lohko B	TPV1-1FC jazz

Ykkönen tableGroup Stageupdated 7 Oct 19:51 UTC

In the Ykkönen table, TPV sit 9th with 27 points from 25 games, while FC jazz are 6th with 39 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampere United	25	15	5	5	58:26	+32	50
2	Rops	25	12	8	5	52:37	+15	44
3	SalPa	25	12	6	7	52:45	+7	42
4	OLS	25	11	8	6	50:37	+13	41
5	VJS	25	10	10	5	44:32	+12	40
6	FC jazz	25	11	6	8	38:32	+6	39
7	PKKU	25	10	8	7	45:37	+8	38
8	JJK	25	8	7	10	55:53	+2	31
9	TPV	25	7	6	12	35:48	-13	27
10	Inter Turku II	25	7	5	13	39:53	-14	26
11	KPV-j	25	5	3	17	27:75	-48	18
12	KuPS Akatemia	25	3	6	16	41:61	-20	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X24%3.77240%2.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.65 → 2.70 +1.9%X3.75 → 3.80 +1.3%22.16 → 2.13 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	3.25	2.2%
Average	1.35	2.95	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
William Hill	1.36	2.90	8.0%
1xBet	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.93	9.3%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.35	2.96	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

TPV 10%Draw 45%FC jazz 45%

The statistical model rated TPV at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC jazz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.77 | 2.24, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ykkönen table: TPV are 9th (27 pts, 35-48 goals), FC jazz 6th (39 pts, 38-32).

Over their last five matches, TPV averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; FC jazz averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC jazz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	3.75	2.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.39	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.98	1.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.35	2.96

1st half

1	X	2
3.05	2.55	2.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	26.0	1.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.08	6.13
2.5	1.35	2.95
3.5	1.89	1.81
4.5	3.00	1.32
5.5	5.30	1.11
6.5	11.0	1.05
7.5	21.0	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.08	5.55
2	1.10	5.10
2.25	1.21	3.59
2.75	1.41	2.61
3	1.51	2.32
3.25	1.70	2.01
3.75	2.10	1.64
4	2.42	1.47
4.25	2.67	1.40
4.75	3.43	1.23
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.70	1.12
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.69	1.45
-0.25	2.34	1.53
0	2.07	1.69
+0.25	1.79	1.90
+0.5	1.65	2.21
+0.75	1.48	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	6.08	1.08
-1.5	4.77	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.16
-1	4.07	1.18
-0.75	3.07	1.31
+1	1.32	3.09
+1.25	1.26	3.37
+1.5	1.22	3.69
+1.75	1.14	4.67
+2	1.07	6.40
+2.5	1.04	6.75