Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing• FA Cup, China

2.7:1.711:35Today · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi1.3:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27PINX3.78MAR22.87PINMargin at best5.4%Books10Markets83Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	3.65	2.80	7.2%
Pinnacle	2.27	3.53	2.87	7.2%
Betano	2.22	3.70	2.80	7.8%
1xBet	2.20	3.78	2.78	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.78	2.76	8.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.70	2.70	9.5%
Betfair	2.15	3.50	2.80	10.8%
Bet365	2.20	3.50	2.70	11.1%
William Hill	2.20	3.40	2.75	11.2%
SBO	2.16	3.43	2.66	13.0%
Best of all books	2.27	3.78	2.87	5.4%
Average	2.21	3.60	2.76	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Yunnan YukunDalian Zhixing

Last 108Form pts · last 5152.7Goals for · last 51.31.7Goals against · last 50.767Attack rating3329Defence rating7150Form rating5071H2H rating2955Goals model4556Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Yunnan Yukun

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

24 Oct	A	Qingdao Youth Island	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Chongqing Tongliang Long	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Shanghai Shenhua	1-7	L
6 Sep	H	Shenyang Urban	5-0	W
2 Sep	H	Chongqing Tongliang Long	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Hangzhou Greentown	0-6	L
22 Aug	A	Beijing Guoan	3-3	D
15 Aug	H	Dalian Zhixing	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Chengdu Better City	1-0	W
1 Aug	A	Tianjin Teda	2-3	L

Dalian Zhixing

7W 2D 1L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

24 Oct	A	Chengdu Better City	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Sichuan Jiuniu	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Qingdao Youth Island	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Qingdao Jonoon	2-1	W
1 Sep	H	Shanghai Shenhua	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Beijing Guoan	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Chongqing Tongliang Long	1-0	W
19 Aug	A	SHANGHAI SIPG	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Yunnan Yukun	1-3	L
8 Aug	H	Shenyang Urban	1-0	W

Head to head

5Yunnan Yukun wins

2draws

1Dalian Zhixing wins

8 meetings · goals 16:7 · last 8: 5W 2D 1L for Yunnan Yukun

15 Aug 2026Super League	Super League	Yunnan Yukun3-1Dalian Zhixing
26 Apr 2026Super League	Super League	Dalian Zhixing1-3Yunnan Yukun
19 Sep 2025Super League	Super League	Yunnan Yukun1-1Dalian Zhixing
1 May 2025Super League	Super League	Dalian Zhixing3-2Yunnan Yukun
26 Oct 2024League One	League One	Yunnan Yukun2-0Dalian Zhixing
15 Jun 2024League One	League One	Dalian Zhixing0-3Yunnan Yukun
10 Oct 2023League Two	League Two	Dalian Zhixing0-1Yunnan Yukun
27 Aug 2023League Two	League Two	Yunnan Yukun1-1Dalian Zhixing

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.20X25%3.60233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 2.20 +7.8%X3.61 → 3.60 -0.3%23.11 → 2.76 -11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.52	2.42	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.50	2.36	9.0%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.48	2.44	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Betano	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.42	2.66	8.0%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.61	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.42	2.65	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Yunnan Yukun 45%Draw 45%Dalian Zhixing 10%

The statistical model rates Yunnan Yukun at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dalian Zhixing at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.76, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Yunnan Yukun win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Yunnan Yukun averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Dalian Zhixing averaged 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Yunnan Yukun or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.60	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.59	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	2.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.65	2.41	3.19

2nd half

1	X	2
2.48	2.73	2.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.39	12.9	23.5
HT X	5.91	6.51	7.08
HT 2	21.2	13.6	4.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	19.0	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.7
1.5	1.12	5.27
2.5	1.48	2.44
3.5	2.21	1.61
4.5	3.72	1.23
5.5	6.82	1.07
6.5	8.50	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.33	2.97
2.75	1.60	2.18
3	1.76	1.96
3.25	2.00	1.74
3.75	2.51	1.46
4	3.00	1.32
4.25	3.36	1.25
4.75	4.61	1.13
5	6.25	1.06
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.45
-0.5	2.14	1.67
-0.25	1.96	1.79
0	1.67	2.09
+0.25	1.50	2.38
+0.5	1.41	2.80

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.5	1.01
-3	13.5	1.01
-2.5	8.30	1.01
-2.25	5.90	1.07
-2	7.40	1.03
-1.75	5.05	1.10
-1.5	3.95	1.17
-1.25	3.51	1.23
-1	2.95	1.34
+0.75	1.27	3.21
+1	1.13	4.55
+1.25	1.11	4.96
+1.5	1.09	5.40
+1.75	1.04	7.10
+2	1.03	10.0
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	8.50
6.5	1.08	5.52
7.5	1.21	3.52
8.5	1.44	2.50
9.5	1.74	1.98
10.5	2.14	1.62
11.5	2.86	1.35
12.5	4.23	1.15
13.5	6.16	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.48
7	1.08	5.23
7.25	1.14	4.19
7.75	1.23	3.38
8	1.26	3.20
8.25	1.36	2.78
8.75	1.50	2.37
9	1.57	2.23
9.25	1.68	2.06
9.75	1.87	1.83
10	1.94	1.81
10.25	2.11	1.64
10.75	2.40	1.48
11	2.66	1.39
11.25	2.80	1.35
11.75	3.29	1.25
12	3.80	1.18
12.25	3.98	1.16
12.75	4.82	1.10
13	5.85	1.05
13.25	6.06	1.04