KuPS vs Gnistan• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#11.2:0.817:00Today · Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio0.8:2.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52PINX4.64PIN26.25B365Margin at best3.3%Books10Markets76Rating72 · 29Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.51	4.68	6.02	4.2%
Dafabet	1.49	4.60	6.20	5.0%
Betano	1.50	4.30	5.90	6.9%
1xBet	1.45	4.55	6.22	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.44	4.55	6.20	7.6%
BetVictor	1.45	4.20	6.00	9.4%
Bet365	1.42	4.20	6.25	10.2%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	5.50	11.4%
Betfair	1.36	4.40	6.00	12.9%
SBO	1.41	3.93	5.42	14.8%
Best of all books	1.51	4.68	6.25	3.6%
Average	1.45	4.36	5.97	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KuPSGnistan

Last 10#1Table position#41.95Points per game1.644Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 52.060Attack rating4071Defence rating2978Form rating2285H2H rating1555Goals model4572Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

KuPS

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	HJK Helsinki	2-2	D
22 Oct	A	Borac Banja Luka	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	VPS	2-0	W
15 Oct	H	Trabzonspor	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	Inter Turku	0-1	L
8 Oct	H	AC Oulu	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	VPS	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	HJK Helsinki	0-0	D
8 Sep	A	Gnistan	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Inter Turku	0-1	L

Gnistan

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	H	AC Oulu	3-4	L
17 Oct	A	HJK Helsinki	0-4	L
12 Oct	A	VPS	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Inter Turku	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	HJK Helsinki	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	AC Oulu	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	KuPS	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Turku PS	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	HJK Helsinki	3-2	W
17 Aug	H	Ilves	3-2	W

Head to head

7KuPS wins

3draws

0Gnistan wins

10 meetings · goals 24:6 · last 10: 7W 3D 0L for KuPS

8 Sep 2026Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	Gnistan1-1KuPS
1 Aug 2026Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	Gnistan0-1KuPS
11 Apr 2026Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	KuPS1-0Gnistan
30 Oct 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	KuPS1-1Gnistan
27 Sep 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	Gnistan0-4KuPS
1 Jul 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	KuPS6-2Gnistan
27 Apr 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	Gnistan1-2KuPS
7 Jul 2024Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	KuPS3-1Gnistan
19 May 2024Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	Gnistan0-0KuPS
20 Mar 2021Suomen Cup	Suomen Cup	KuPS5-0Gnistan

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 28 Oct 20:30 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, KuPS sit 1st with 43 points from 22 games, while Gnistan are 4th with 36 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	38:23	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	29:16	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	36:27	+9	37
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	36:29	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	25:25	0	34
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	29:22	+7	33
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	26:19	+7	32
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	28:23	+5	31
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	34:37	-3	25
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	25:33	-8	19
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	18:44	-26	15
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	17:43	-26	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.45X21%4.36215%6.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.53 → 1.45 -5.2%X4.25 → 4.36 +2.6%25.47 → 6.01 +9.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.26	3.8%
Betano	1.65	2.22	5.7%
SBO	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.59	2.27	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.27	6.9%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.68	2.27	3.6%
Average	1.62	2.22	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	2.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.75	1.98	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KuPS 45%Draw 45%Gnistan 10%

The statistical model rates KuPS at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gnistan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.36 | 6.01, which imply roughly 69% for a KuPS win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: KuPS are 1st (43 pts, 38-23 goals), Gnistan 4th (36 pts, 36-29).

Over their last five matches, KuPS averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Gnistan averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : KuPS or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	4.36	5.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.59	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
1.94	2.43	5.72

2nd half

1	X	2
1.76	2.86	5.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.09	15.9	46.1
HT X	4.32	6.93	12.9
HT 2	19.7	16.9	10.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	16.1	3.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.18	4.39
2.5	1.62	2.22
3.5	2.55	1.47
4.5	4.57	1.17
5.5	8.42	1.04
6.5	17.5	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.22	3.55
2.25	1.44	2.62
2.75	1.78	1.98
3	2.02	1.74
3.25	2.24	1.58
3.75	2.83	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.91	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.65	1.42
-1.5	2.27	1.58
-1.25	2.02	1.74
-1	1.77	2.02
-0.75	1.57	2.30
-0.5	1.48	2.60

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3	6.87	1.06
-2.75	5.10	1.12
-2.5	3.97	1.19
-2.25	3.70	1.24
-2	3.40	1.28
-0.25	1.30	3.23
0	1.16	4.62
+0.25	1.12	5.15
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.03	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	6.40
7.5	1.15	4.27
8.5	1.32	3.06
9.5	1.57	2.26
10.5	1.92	1.79
11.5	2.45	1.48
12.5	3.25	1.28
13.5	4.47	1.14
14.5	5.90	1.07

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.33	2.81
9	1.43	2.64
9.25	1.46	2.38
9.75	1.62	2.08
10	1.80	1.99
10.25	1.83	1.83
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.14	1.70
11.25	2.37	1.48
11.75	2.70	1.36
12.25	2.92	1.31

Next Veikkausliiga matches

29 Oct	Inter Turku – HJK Helsinki
1 Nov	AC Oulu – KuPS

All Veikkausliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Veikkausliiga results

28 Oct	AC Oulu 0-0 VPS
25 Oct	HJK Helsinki 2-2 KuPS
25 Oct	FF Jaro 1-0 PK-35
24 Oct	Gnistan 3-4 AC Oulu
24 Oct	VPS 0-1 Inter Turku
21 Oct	PK-35 1-1 FF Jaro