HJK Helsinki vs VPS• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#31.4:1.215:00Today · Bolt Arena, Helsinki0.4:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60B365X4.25MAR25.35MARMargin at best4.7%Books10Markets80Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 20:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	4.21	5.41	4.3%
Dafabet	1.62	4.20	5.20	4.8%
Betano	1.60	4.00	5.20	6.7%
1xBet	1.55	4.25	5.25	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	4.25	5.35	7.6%
William Hill	1.57	3.90	5.00	9.3%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.25	9.4%
Bet365	1.60	3.80	4.75	9.9%
Betfair	1.53	4.00	5.00	10.4%
SBO	1.51	3.69	4.68	14.7%
Best of all books	1.62	4.25	5.41	3.7%
Average	1.56	4.03	5.11	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HJK HelsinkiVPS

Last 10#3Table position#61.68Points per game1.508Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 50.878Attack rating2240Defence rating6057Form rating4371H2H rating2953Goals model4761Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 19:31 UTC

HJK Helsinki

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

18 Sep	A	Gnistan	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	KuPS	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Inter Turku	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Inter Turku	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Ilves	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Gnistan	2-3	L
16 Aug	H	FF Jaro	3-0	W
13 Aug	A	Motherwell	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	AC Oulu	1-0	W
6 Aug	H	Motherwell	1-1	D

VPS

3W 0D 7L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

19 Sep	H	KuPS	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Inter Turku	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	AC Oulu	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Lahti	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Ilves	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Turku PS	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	FF Jaro	3-1	W
2 Aug	H	Inter Turku	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	KuPS	1-3	L
18 Jul	A	HJK Helsinki	1-2	L

Head to head

21HJK Helsinki wins

9draws

7VPS wins

37 meetings · goals 72:34 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for HJK Helsinki

18 Jul 2026Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki2-1VPS
22 May 2026Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS2-1HJK Helsinki
5 Jul 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS0-2HJK Helsinki
26 Apr 2025Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki3-1VPS
20 Sep 2024Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS1-1HJK Helsinki
1 Sep 2024Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS1-3HJK Helsinki
17 May 2024Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki1-2VPS
8 Oct 2023Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS3-2HJK Helsinki
19 Apr 2023Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	HJK Helsinki4-0VPS
15 Apr 2023Veikkausliiga	Veikkausliiga	VPS0-1HJK Helsinki

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 7 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, HJK Helsinki sit 3rd with 37 points from 22 games, while VPS are 6th with 33 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	38:23	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	29:16	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	36:27	+9	37
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	36:29	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	25:25	0	34
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	29:22	+7	33
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	26:19	+7	32
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	28:23	+5	31
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	34:37	-3	25
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	25:33	-8	19
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	18:44	-26	15
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	17:43	-26	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.56X23%4.03218%5.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	2.14	3.9%
Betano	1.67	2.18	5.8%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.18	3.0%
Average	1.68	2.12	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.72	2.02	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HJK Helsinki 45%Draw 45%VPS 10%

The statistical model rates HJK Helsinki at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and VPS at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 4.03 | 5.09, which imply roughly 64.1% for a HJK Helsinki win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: HJK Helsinki are 3rd (37 pts, 36-27 goals), VPS 6th (33 pts, 29-22).

Over their last five matches, HJK Helsinki averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; VPS averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HJK Helsinki or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.03	5.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.31	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.06	2.34	5.19

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	15.5	2.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.20	4.20
2.5	1.68	2.12
3.5	2.68	1.42
4.5	4.96	1.15
5.5	9.36	1.04
6.5	17.6	1.02
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.07	5.91
1.75	1.19	3.75
2	1.26	3.26
2.25	1.49	2.50
2.75	1.85	1.91
3	2.10	1.67
3.25	2.37	1.52
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17
4.25	4.39	1.14
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.51	1.48
-1.25	2.23	1.60
-1	1.96	1.82
-0.75	1.70	2.08
-0.5	1.57	2.36
-0.25	1.37	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.20	1.02
-2.75	6.11	1.08
-2.5	4.65	1.14
-2.25	4.33	1.17
-2	3.98	1.21
-1.75	3.01	1.35
0	1.21	4.05
+0.25	1.15	4.50
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.06	7.02
+1	1.02	8.90
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.42
6.5	1.13	4.18
7.5	1.29	3.08
8.5	1.56	2.26
9.5	1.95	1.81
10.5	2.46	1.47
11.5	3.29	1.26
12.5	4.58	1.12
13.5	5.00	1.07
14.5	5.17	1.06

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.22
7	1.16	3.69
7.75	1.33	2.77
8	1.39	2.68
8.25	1.48	2.32
8.75	1.67	2.03
9	1.73	2.01
9.25	1.92	1.82
9.75	2.17	1.58
10	2.20	1.60
10.25	2.47	1.42
10.75	2.90	1.30
11	2.65	1.41
11.25	2.71	1.30
12	3.69	1.16
13	4.85	1.08
14	5.57	1.04