OddsFilter

Gnistan vs Inter Turku• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#41.6:1.20-0FTToday · Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki0.8:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.81PINX4.19PIN21.69PINMargin at best3.8%Books8Markets50Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.223.771.815.5%
1xBet4.083.721.806.9%
Betano4.103.601.827.1%
Marathonbet4.103.721.787.5%
William Hill4.003.501.809.1%
Betfair3.903.601.7510.6%
Bet3654.003.501.7510.7%
SBO3.633.201.7914.7%
Best of all books4.223.771.825.2%
Average4.003.581.798.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GnistanInter Turku
Last 10#4Table position#21.64Points per game1.919Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 50.467Attack rating3325Defence rating7547Form rating5340H2H rating6036Goals model6442Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 13:51 UTC

Gnistan

5W 4D 1L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

18 SepHHJK Helsinki1-1D
12 SepAAC Oulu2-1W
8 SepHKuPS1-1D
31 AugHTurku PS1-1D
23 AugAHJK Helsinki3-2W
17 AugHIlves3-2W
7 AugASJK2-2D
1 AugHKuPS0-1L
26 JulAInter Turku2-1W
18 JulAAC Oulu2-0W

Inter Turku

5W 3D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

18 SepAAC Oulu1-0W
14 SepHVPS1-0W
9 SepAHJK Helsinki1-2L
5 SepHHJK Helsinki1-0W
31 AugHKuPS1-0W
27 AugAFC Copenhagen1-4L
23 AugATurku PS0-0D
20 AugHFC Copenhagen0-0D
16 AugAAC Oulu3-2W
13 AugAFC Vaduz2-2D

Head to head

4Gnistan wins
3draws
7Inter Turku wins

14 meetings · goals 15:26 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Gnistan

26 Jul 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaInter Turku1-2Gnistan
5 May 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan2-0Inter Turku
17 Jan 2026League CupLeague CupGnistan0-3Inter Turku
22 Oct 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaInter Turku2-1Gnistan
13 Sep 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan0-2Inter Turku
27 Jun 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan2-2Inter Turku
12 Apr 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaInter Turku3-0Gnistan
15 Feb 2025League CupLeague CupInter Turku2-0Gnistan
19 Oct 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaInter Turku3-2Gnistan
22 Jul 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaInter Turku2-2Gnistan

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 7 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, Gnistan sit 4th with 36 points from 22 games, while Inter Turku are 2nd with 42 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1KuPS22127338:23+1543
2Inter Turku22119229:16+1342
3HJK Helsinki22114736:27+937
4Gnistan22106636:29+736
5AC Oulu22104825:25034
6VPS2296729:22+733
7Lahti2295826:19+732
8Turku PS2287728:23+531
9Ilves22741134:37-325
10SJK22471125:33-819
11FF Jaro22361318:44-2615
12Mariehamn22351417:43-2614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.51X24%3.91256%1.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 00:017 Oct 14:111 4.51X 3.912 1.65
14.00 → 4.51 +12.7%X3.58 → 3.91 +9.2%21.79 → 1.65 -7.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.074.5%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.802.005.6%
1xBet1.761.997.1%
Marathonbet1.761.997.1%
Best of all books1.802.073.9%
Average1.782.015.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Betano1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.692.058.0%
Marathonbet1.692.028.7%
Best of all books1.702.106.4%
Average1.692.057.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gnistan 10%Draw 45%Inter Turku 45%

The statistical model rated Gnistan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter Turku at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.51 | 3.91 | 1.65, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: Gnistan are 4th (36 pts, 36-29 goals), Inter Turku 2nd (42 pts, 29-16).

Over their last five matches, Gnistan averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Inter Turku averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inter Turku.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Gnistan

3-4-3

Coach: Jussi Leppälahti

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Virtanen

Defence

  • 24P. Gnanou
  • 67A. Obileye
  • 3Ruxi

Midfield

  • 19B. Milovanov
  • 31A. Jouhi
  • 15G. Europaeus
  • 12E. Arko-Mensah

Attack

  • 7A. Atarah
  • 10J. Latonen
  • 23S. Ylätupa
Substitutes (8)
  • 2B. Dahlström
  • 26R. Eremenko
  • 14S. Eremenko
  • 27O. Hannula
  • 95M. Jurička
  • 40J. Ojala
  • 11D. Pérez
  • 25Noah Rossi

Inter Turku

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Vasara

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Huuhtanen

Defence

  • 18S. Saarinen
  • 22L. Kuittinen
  • 6R. Ivanov
  • 2J. Niska

Midfield

  • 14J. Laine
  • 17B. Ampofo
  • 7H. Sjögrell
  • 9J. Tuominen
  • 16C. Jephta

Attack

  • 10Alie Conteh
Substitutes (9)
  • 12E. Vuorjoki
  • 24J. Tauriainen
  • 33Muhammed Suso
  • 28L. Laine
  • 35Eeli Kiiskilä
  • 19I. Järvinen
  • 5A. Granlund
  • 11J. Botué
  • 30Y. Amankwah

Match Statistics

GnistanInter Turku
240Passes accurate486
7Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox6
5Blocked Shots7
7Free Kicks10
2Shots on Goal2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal7
2Offsides1
312Total passes567
12Total Shots16
1Yellow Cards3
5Corner Kicks8
10Fouls7
0Red Cards0
39%Ball Possession61%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.003.581.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.961.211.24

Draw no bet

12
2.981.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.05

1st half

1X2
4.382.252.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.4712.61.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.6
1.51.233.76
2.51.782.01
3.52.861.37
4.55.181.13
5.59.411.05
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.95
11.018.70
1.251.114.95
1.751.273.21
21.332.88
2.251.562.34
2.751.981.79
32.271.58
3.252.551.45
3.753.341.24
44.401.14
4.254.701.12
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.991.35
+0.252.311.56
+0.52.021.81
+0.751.742.00
+11.532.43
+1.251.402.74
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.201.02
-17.301.03
-0.754.951.13
-0.54.041.24
-0.253.431.27
+1.51.333.06
+1.751.213.75
+21.115.32
+2.251.095.63
+2.51.086.07
+2.751.037.40