AC Oulu vs 
Gnistan• Veikkausliiga, Finland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.27 | 3.36 | 2.93. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 19:41 UTC
AC Oulu
2W 2D 6L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Sep | H | Inter Turku | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Gnistan | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | VPS | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | SJK | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | FF Jaro | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Inter Turku | 2-3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | HJK Helsinki | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | Ilves | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Mariehamn | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Jul | H | Gnistan | 0-2 | L |
Gnistan
5W 4D 1L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against
| 18 Sep | H | HJK Helsinki | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | AC Oulu | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | H | KuPS | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | Turku PS | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | HJK Helsinki | 3-2 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Ilves | 3-2 | W |
| 7 Aug | A | SJK | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Aug | H | KuPS | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Jul | A | Inter Turku | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Jul | A | AC Oulu | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
12 meetings · goals 20:18 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for AC Oulu
| 18 Jul 2026Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu0-2Gnistan |
| 4 Apr 2026Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan1-5AC Oulu |
| 25 Aug 2025Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan3-2AC Oulu |
| 10 May 2025Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu2-3Gnistan |
| 27 Sep 2024Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan1-0AC Oulu |
| 18 Aug 2024Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | Gnistan2-0AC Oulu |
| 11 May 2024Veikkausliiga | Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu1-1Gnistan |
| 17 Oct 2020Ykkönen | Ykkönen | Gnistan1-2AC Oulu |
| 27 Jun 2020Ykkönen | Ykkönen | AC Oulu2-0Gnistan |
| 19 Aug 2017Ykkönen | Ykkönen | AC Oulu1-2Gnistan |
Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 7 Oct 20:11 UTC
In the Veikkausliiga table, AC Oulu sit 5th with 34 points from 22 games, while Gnistan are 4th with 36 points from 22.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AC Oulu at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gnistan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.36 | 2.93, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: AC Oulu are 5th (34 pts, 25-25 goals), Gnistan 4th (36 pts, 36-29).
Over their last five matches, AC Oulu averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gnistan averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gnistan.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
AC Oulu
4-3-3Coach: M. Isokangas
Goalkeeper
- 13Miguel Santos
Defence
- 16O. Kemppainen
- 5M. Pitkänen
- 66J. Pirinen
- 18Adramane Cassamá
Midfield
- 25M. Arsalo
- 7R. Karjalainen
- 21I. Mendolin
Attack
- 10C. Triana
- 9R. Riski
- 22T. Kaukua
Substitutes (9)
- 27E. Kallio
- 99N. Schulz
- 2S. Sipola
- 3J. Lietsa
- 29S. Silander
- 6J. Paananen
- 8M. Ojala
- 11L. Ghezali
- 14N. Jokelainen
Gnistan
5-4-1Coach: Jussi Leppälahti
Goalkeeper
- 1O. Virtanen
Defence
- 19B. Milovanov
- 24P. Gnanou
- 67A. Obileye
- 3Ruxi
- 12E. Arko-Mensah
Midfield
- 7A. Atarah
- 31A. Jouhi
- 15G. Europaeus
- 23S. Ylätupa
Attack
- 10J. Latonen
Substitutes (7)
- 26R. Eremenko
- 27O. Hannula
- 14S. Eremenko
- 25Noah Rossi
- 2B. Dahlström
- 13O. Lyberopoulos
- 45Kosmo Launiala