Gnistan4th36 pts
KuPS1st43 pts
Gnistan4th36 pts
KuPS1st43 ptsIn the Veikkausliiga table, Gnistan sit 4th with 36 points from 22 games, while KuPS are 1st with 43 points from 22 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Gnistan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and KuPS at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.51 | 3.62 | 1.92, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: Gnistan are 4th (36 pts, 36-29 goals), KuPS 1st (43 pts, 38-23).
Over their last five matches, Gnistan averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; KuPS averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or KuPS.
Gnistan vs KuPS — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.60
X
3.64
2
1.90
Double chance
1X
1.82
X2
1.25
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.53
No
2.35
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
4.60
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.27
Over 3.5
2.43
Under 3.5
1.49
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
14.20
Over 4.5
4.36
Under 4.5
1.18
Over 7.5
34.00
Over 5.5
8.53
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
19.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.18
Under 1.75
4.11
Over 2
1.23
Under 2
3.60
Over 2.25
1.44
Under 2.25
2.70
Over 2.75
1.74
Under 2.75
2.02
Over 1.25
1.06
Under 1.25
6.26
Over 3
1.94
Under 3
1.78
Over 3.25
2.17
Under 3.25
1.60
Over 3.75
2.83
Under 3.75
1.33
Over 4
3.58
Under 4
1.21
Over 4.25
3.95
Under 4.25
1.17
Over 4.75
5.40
Under 4.75
1.09
Over 5
7.50
Under 5
1.03
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
10.00
Draw no bet
1
2.65
2
1.43
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
13.00
1st half
1
4.01
X
2.34
2
2.41
First team to score
Home
2.27
No Goal
15.50
Away
1.65
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.75
3.20
Under 11.75
1.26