Lahti7th32 pts
Mariehamn12th14 pts
Lahti7th32 pts
Mariehamn12th14 ptsIn the Veikkausliiga table, Lahti sit 7th with 32 points from 22 games, while Mariehamn are 12th with 14 points from 22 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lahti at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mariehamn at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.09 | 5.37, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Lahti win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: Lahti are 7th (32 pts, 26-19 goals), Mariehamn 12th (14 pts, 17-43).
Over their last five matches, Lahti averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Mariehamn averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lahti or draw.
Lahti vs Mariehamn — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.54
X
3.99
2
5.64
Double chance
1X
1.13
X2
2.39
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.82
No
1.89
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.78
Over 2.5
1.77
Under 2.5
2.01
Over 3.5
2.83
Under 3.5
1.37
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
11.60
Over 4.5
5.47
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
10.37
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
23.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.31
Over 2
1.36
Under 2
2.93
Over 2.25
1.57
Under 2.25
2.30
Over 2.75
1.97
Under 2.75
1.79
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.90
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
5.01
Over 3
2.27
Under 3
1.57
Over 3.25
2.55
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 3.75
3.34
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4
4.45
Under 4
1.14
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 4.75
6.50
Under 4.75
1.05
Over 5
9.10
Draw no bet
1
1.19
2
4.41
Asian handicap
Away 3.25
1.02
1st half
1
2.04
X
2.31
2
6.02
First team to score
Home
1.46
No Goal
12.88
Away
2.96
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.75
2.74
Under 11.75
1.35