Eastern vs Kitchee• League Cup, Hong-Kong

3-1FT26/09 · Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33B365X3.80BVC21.83B365Margin at best4.1%Books1Markets8Rating35 · 66

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 13:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	4.20	3.60	1.67	11.5%
Best of all books	4.20	3.60	1.67	11.5%
Average	4.20	3.60	1.67	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EasternKitchee

Last 106Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating025H2H rating750Goals model035Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Eastern

4W 1D 5L · goals 20:21 · per match 2.0 for, 2.1 against

9 Oct	H	North District	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Kitchee	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	BC Rangers	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Kowloon City	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Wofoo Tai Po	1-4	L
21 Aug	H	Shatin	1-3	L
17 May	A	Kitchee	4-4	D
9 May	H	Wofoo Tai Po	2-4	L
1 May	H	North District	3-1	W
26 Apr	A	Warriors	1-0	W

Kitchee

5W 4D 1L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

15 Oct	A	Kuching FA	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Hong Kong FC	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Eastern	1-3	L
17 Sep	H	Gangwon FC	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Southern District	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Eastern District	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	North District	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	BC Rangers	3-2	W
29 Jul	A	Prime Bangkok	4-0	W
17 May	H	Eastern	4-4	D

Head to head

6Eastern wins

11draws

18Kitchee wins

35 meetings · goals 32:66 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Eastern

17 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Kitchee4-4Eastern
21 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Kitchee2-1Eastern
29 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	Eastern0-1Kitchee
25 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Eastern1-1Kitchee
22 Mar 2025Sapling Cup	Sapling Cup	Eastern1-1Kitchee
2 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Kitchee3-0Eastern
18 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Eastern1-1Kitchee
12 May 2024FA Cup	FA Cup	Kitchee1-2Eastern
1 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Eastern2-1Kitchee
6 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Kitchee0-0Eastern

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.23X28%3.25251%1.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.20 → 4.10 -2.4%X3.60 → 3.31 -8.1%21.67 → 1.79 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.57	2.35	6.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Eastern 10%Draw 45%Kitchee 45%

The statistical model rated Eastern at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kitchee at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.23 | 3.25 | 1.78, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Eastern averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Kitchee averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kitchee.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.20	3.60	1.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.00	1.17	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.40	1.30

1st half

1	X	2
4.00	2.40	2.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	15.0	1.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.57	2.35

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	1.90	1.90

Latest League Cup results

4 Oct	Kowloon City 1-2 Eastern District
4 Oct	BC Rangers 1-3 Wofoo Tai Po
1 Oct	Shatin 2-2 Hong Kong FC
1 Oct	North District 2-1 Southern District