United Arab Emirates vs Qatar• Gulf Cup of Nations, World

3.5:0.01-1FT30/09 · King Abdullah Sports City, Buraidah1.5:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.891XB23.80BVCMargin at best3.8%Books4Markets37Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 08:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.50	3.00	2.63	11.4%
1xBet	2.51	3.04	2.56	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.51	3.04	2.56	11.8%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.62	12.7%
Best of all books	2.51	3.04	2.63	10.8%
Average	2.50	3.00	2.59	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

United Arab EmiratesQatar

Last 1010Form pts · last 573.5Goals for · last 51.50.0Goals against · last 50.070Attack rating300Defence rating050Form rating5062H2H rating380Goals model063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 19:01 UTC

United Arab Emirates

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	H	Oman	1-0	W
30 Sep	H	Qatar	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Bahrain	3-0	W
24 Sep	H	Yemen	4-0	W
15 Dec	A	Morocco	0-3	L
12 Dec	A	Algeria	1-1	D
9 Dec	H	Kuwait	3-1	W
6 Dec	H	Egypt	1-1	D
3 Dec	A	Jordan	1-2	L
18 Nov	A	Iraq	1-2	L

Qatar

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

30 Sep	A	United Arab Emirates	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Yemen	1-0	W
24 Sep	H	Bahrain	2-0	W
24 Jun	A	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1-3	L
18 Jun	A	Canada	0-6	L
13 Jun	H	Switzerland	1-1	D
6 Jun	H	El Salvador	0-0	D
28 May	A	Rep. Of Ireland	0-1	L
7 Dec	H	Tunisia	0-3	L
4 Dec	A	Syria	1-1	D

Head to head

3United Arab Emirates wins

2draws

4Qatar wins

9 meetings · goals 17:19 · last 9: 3W 2D 4L for United Arab Emirates

14 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Asia	World Cup - Qualification Asia	Qatar2-1United Arab Emirates
21 Dec 2024Gulf Cup of Nations	Gulf Cup of Nations	Qatar1-1United Arab Emirates
19 Nov 2024World Cup - Qualification Asia	World Cup - Qualification Asia	United Arab Emirates5-0Qatar
5 Sep 2024World Cup - Qualification Asia	World Cup - Qualification Asia	Qatar1-3United Arab Emirates
13 Jan 2023Gulf Cup of Nations	Gulf Cup of Nations	Qatar1-1United Arab Emirates
10 Dec 2021Arab Cup	Arab Cup	Qatar5-0United Arab Emirates
2 Dec 2019Gulf Cup of Nations	Gulf Cup of Nations	Qatar4-2United Arab Emirates
29 Jan 2019Asian Cup	Asian Cup	Qatar4-0United Arab Emirates
11 Jan 2015Asian Cup	Asian Cup	United Arab Emirates4-1Qatar

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.83X25%3.60225%3.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.51 → 1.83 -27.1%X3.00 → 3.60 +20.0%22.59 → 3.68 +42.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Average	2.18	1.59	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

United Arab Emirates 45%Draw 45%Qatar 10%

The statistical model rated United Arab Emirates at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Qatar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.68, which imply roughly 54.6% for a United Arab Emirates win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, United Arab Emirates averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Qatar averaged 1.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : United Arab Emirates and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.51	3.00	2.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.42	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.83	1.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	1.98	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.02	7.70	2.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.80
1.5	1.35	2.79
2.5	2.18	1.59
3.5	3.99	1.18
4.5	8.00	1.03
5.5	18.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.00
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.41
2	1.61	2.07
2.25	1.89	1.76
2.75	2.49	1.42
3	3.20	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.05	1.10
4	7.30	1.03
4.25	7.68	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	4.45	1.14
-0.75	3.05	1.28
-0.25	2.15	1.58
0	1.82	1.83
+0.25	1.55	2.17
+0.75	1.28	3.08

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.30	1.03
-1.5	5.45	1.08
-1.25	4.95	1.11
+1	1.13	4.60
+1.25	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.08	5.60
+1.75	1.03	7.50