Brusque vs Paysandu• Serie C, Brazil

#21.8:1.820:00Today · Brusque0.8:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65DAFX3.30BFR22.61PINMargin at best6.4%Books9Markets62Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 16:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.65	3.30	2.55	7.3%
Betano	2.62	3.20	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	2.60	3.10	2.61	9.0%
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.60	10.4%
Bet365	2.55	3.20	2.50	10.5%
BetVictor	2.50	3.13	2.55	11.2%
1xBet	2.43	3.18	2.53	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.43	3.18	2.53	12.1%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.50	14.5%
Best of all books	2.65	3.30	2.61	6.4%
Average	2.52	3.17	2.55	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BrusquePaysandu

Last 10#2Table position#71.68Points per game1.536Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.469Attack rating3144Defence rating5660Form rating4071H2H rating2970Goals model3064Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:43 UTC

Brusque

3W 5D 2L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	A	Inter De Limeira	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Ferroviária	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Ferroviária	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Inter De Limeira	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Paysandu	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Guarani Campinas	2-2	D
23 Aug	H	Amazonas	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Inter De Limeira	3-2	W
9 Aug	A	Maranhão	1-2	L
26 Jul	H	Ituano	1-0	W

Paysandu

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	H	Ferroviária	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Inter De Limeira	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Inter De Limeira	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Ferroviária	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Brusque	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Maringá	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Ituano	1-0	W
17 Aug	A	Ferroviária	0-4	L
10 Aug	H	Confiança	2-1	W
26 Jul	A	Amazonas	1-2	L

Head to head

3Brusque wins

1draws

1Paysandu wins

5 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Brusque

7 Sep 2026Serie C	Serie C	Paysandu1-2Brusque
12 Apr 2026Serie C	Serie C	Paysandu1-1Brusque
12 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Paysandu1-0Brusque
25 Jul 2024Serie B	Serie B	Brusque1-0Paysandu
1 Jul 2023Serie C	Serie C	Paysandu0-2Brusque

Serie C tableFirst stageupdated 10 Oct 02:21 UTC

In the Serie C table, Brusque sit 2nd with 32 points from 19 games, while Paysandu are 7th with 29 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo PB	19	10	3	6	28:19	+9	33
2	Brusque	19	9	5	5	28:22	+6	32
3	Ferroviária	19	8	6	5	22:15	+7	30
4	Maringá	19	8	6	5	32:30	+2	30
5	Floresta	19	8	6	5	22:20	+2	30
6	Inter De Limeira	19	8	6	5	22:20	+2	30
7	Paysandu	19	9	2	8	26:27	-1	29
8	Santa Cruz	19	8	5	6	20:15	+5	29
9	Ypiranga-RS	19	8	5	6	27:24	+3	29
10	Guarani Campinas	19	7	7	5	34:24	+10	28
11	Figueirense	19	7	7	5	19:22	-3	28
12	Maranhão	19	7	6	6	19:18	+1	27
13	Amazonas	19	7	5	7	21:23	-2	26
14	Caxias	19	6	7	6	17:16	+1	25
15	Ituano	19	6	4	9	18:21	-3	22
16	Volta Redonda	19	6	3	10	13:25	-12	21
17	Barra	19	5	6	8	21:21	0	21
18	Anápolis	19	5	4	10	17:22	-5	19
19	AO Itabaiana	19	4	5	10	14:27	-13	17
20	Confiança	19	3	4	12	11:20	-9	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.52X29%3.17236%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.99 → 2.52 +26.6%X3.18 → 3.17 -0.3%23.51 → 2.55 -27.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.79	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.01	1.85	3.8%
Average	1.95	1.77	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.75	1.95	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brusque 45%Draw 45%Paysandu 10%

The statistical model rates Brusque at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Paysandu at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 3.17 | 2.55, which imply roughly 39.7% for a Brusque win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C table: Brusque are 2nd (32 pts, 28-22 goals), Paysandu 7th (29 pts, 26-27).

Over their last five matches, Brusque averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Paysandu averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Brusque or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.52	3.17	2.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.50	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
3.17	2.06	3.19

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.98	9.25	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.58
1.5	1.30	3.21
2.5	1.95	1.77
3.5	3.40	1.27
4.5	6.62	1.08
5.5	12.2	1.02
6.5	13.8	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.03	7.60
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.36	2.77
2	1.47	2.45
2.25	1.71	1.99
2.75	2.21	1.57
3	2.69	1.39
3.25	3.08	1.30
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.87	1.36
-0.5	2.45	1.51
-0.25	2.12	1.64
0	1.84	1.87
+0.25	1.55	2.29
+0.5	1.44	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.45	1.01
-2.25	8.20	1.02
-2	8.27	1.10
-1.75	6.41	1.07
-1.5	4.82	1.14
-1.25	4.14	1.19
-1	3.51	1.28
+0.75	1.28	3.28
+1	1.14	4.85
+1.25	1.11	5.26
+1.5	1.10	5.70
+1.75	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.08	5.22
8.5	1.23	3.39
9.5	1.47	2.48
10.5	1.79	1.91
11.5	2.25	1.58
12.5	2.89	1.33
13.5	3.99	1.16
14.5	5.87	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.10	4.78
9	1.29	3.06
10	1.58	2.20
11	1.99	1.72
12	2.62	1.40
13	3.66	1.20
14	5.48	1.06