Ponte da Barca vs Amarante• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

0-2FT20/09

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

115.0BVCX6.00BFR21.22BTNMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets63

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 15:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	15.0	5.75	1.17	9.5%
William Hill	15.0	5.00	1.18	11.4%
Bet365	10.0	5.50	1.20	11.5%
Marathonbet	14.3	5.80	1.14	12.0%
1xBet	14.2	5.80	1.14	12.0%
Pinnacle	12.1	5.72	1.15	12.7%
Best of all books	15.0	5.80	1.20	7.2%
Average	13.4	5.59	1.16	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ponte da BarcaAmarante

Last 104Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating0100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 11:01 UTC

Ponte da Barca

2W 2D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

20 Sep	H	Amarante	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Bragança	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Os Limianos	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	Montalegre	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Maia Lidador	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Vila Meã	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Merelinense	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Estarreja	1-3	L
4 Sep	H	Montalegre	1-0	W

Amarante

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	A	Ponte da Barca	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	União de Leiria	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Leixoes	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Benfica B	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Vizela	0-0	D
16 Aug	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Tondela	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Moreirense	0-2	L
22 Jul	A	Chaves	1-2	L
16 May	A	Guimaraes B	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ponte da Barca and Amarante on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg17%13.1X17%5.41276%1.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.07	5.5%
Average	1.68	2.05	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
1xBet	2.64	1.42	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.64	1.40	9.3%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
BetVictor	2.63	1.40	9.5%
Best of all books	2.64	1.44	7.3%
Average	2.61	1.42	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponte da Barca 33%Draw 33%Amarante 33%

The statistical model rated Ponte da Barca at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Amarante at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 13.09 | 5.41 | 1.18, which imply roughly 7.6% for a Ponte da Barca win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Ponte da Barca averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Amarante averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
13.4	5.60	1.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
4.13	1.03	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
10.8	1.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.61	1.42

1st half

1	X	2
12.3	2.60	1.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
5.04	12.4	1.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.1
1.5	1.20	3.93
2.5	1.68	2.05
3.5	2.66	1.40
4.5	4.94	1.13
5.5	9.30	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.01
7.5	51.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	3.04
2.25	1.49	2.37
2.75	1.83	1.83
3	2.09	1.62
3.25	2.34	1.49
3.75	3.04	1.29
4	3.88	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.15
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.57	1.42
+1.5	2.16	1.59
+1.75	1.93	1.75
+2	1.71	2.01
+2.25	1.54	2.27
+2.5	1.44	2.51

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	13.0	1.03
+0.25	5.85	1.09
+0.5	4.10	1.23
+0.75	3.77	1.21
+1	3.38	1.26
+2.75	1.32	3.00
+3	1.20	3.89
+3.25	1.17	4.31
+3.5	1.15	4.70
+3.75	1.09	5.80
+4	1.03	7.30
+4.5	1.02	7.90