Mortágua vs Leça• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

0-2FT20/09

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.25B365X3.60BFR21.70WHMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets52

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 15:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.60	3.50	1.70	9.1%
1xBet	4.62	3.28	1.71	10.6%
Bet365	5.25	3.30	1.60	11.9%
Marathonbet	4.50	3.28	1.69	11.9%
William Hill	4.50	3.30	1.67	12.4%
Pinnacle	4.42	3.29	1.68	12.5%
Best of all books	5.25	3.50	1.71	6.1%
Average	4.65	3.32	1.67	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MortáguaLeça

Last 108Form pts · last 590Attack rating00Defence rating0100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 11:02 UTC

Mortágua

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

20 Sep	H	Leça	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	UD da Serra	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Fazendense	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	SC Covilha	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Sertanense	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Nazarenos	3-1	W
18 Apr	H	Eléctrico	2-1	W
12 Apr	A	Vitória de Sernache	0-1	L
4 Apr	H	Os Marialvas	0-2	L
29 Mar	H	Marinhense	1-0	W

Leça

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	A	Mortágua	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Trofense	4-1	W
6 Sep	H	Fafe	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Paredes	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Guimaraes B	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
29 Jul	H	Lusitânia Lourosa	0-0	D
15 Jul	A	Santa Clara	0-4	L
10 Jun	H	Vitória de Sernache	1-1	D
31 May	H	Bragança	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mortágua and Leça on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.76X27%3.34254%1.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.75	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.96	1.76	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.86	1.82	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mortágua 33%Draw 33%Leça 33%

The statistical model rated Mortágua at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Leça at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.76 | 3.34 | 1.66, which imply roughly 21% for a Mortágua win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Mortágua averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Leça averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.65	3.33	1.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.01	1.15	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
3.15	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
5.26	2.11	2.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.83	8.60	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.48
1.5	1.29	3.18
2.5	1.96	1.76
3.5	3.35	1.27
4.5	6.65	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.17	4.05
1.75	1.36	2.71
2	1.48	2.36
2.25	1.72	1.96
2.75	2.19	1.56
3	2.64	1.39
3.25	2.95	1.31
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.40	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.37	1.50
+0.5	1.98	1.76
+0.75	1.75	1.95
+1	1.51	2.37
+1.25	1.39	2.70
+1.5	1.31	3.05

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.40	1.02
-1.25	7.40	1.03
-1	9.00	1.01
-0.75	5.55	1.11
-0.5	3.90	1.24
-0.25	3.68	1.23
0	3.19	1.29
+1.75	1.21	3.85
+2	1.11	5.50
+2.25	1.09	5.30
+2.5	1.08	5.70
+2.75	1.04	7.98
+3	1.02	10.0
+3.5	1.01	11.0