AD Marco 09 vs Maia Lidador• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

1.0:0.01-0FT20/090.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.32PINX4.75BFR211.21XBMargin at best5.7%Books5Markets62Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L50.5

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 15:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.29	4.75	10.0	8.6%
1xBet	1.28	4.30	10.9	10.6%
Bet365	1.27	4.33	11.0	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.27	4.30	10.3	11.8%
Pinnacle	1.30	4.37	7.99	12.3%
Best of all books	1.30	4.75	11.0	7.1%
Average	1.28	4.41	10.0	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AD Marco 09Maia Lidador

Last 1013Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 50.00.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating075Form rating250H2H rating00Goals model075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 11:32 UTC

AD Marco 09

5W 3D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Maia Lidador	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Guimaraes B	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	São João Ver	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Régua	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Vianense	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Varzim	1-2	L
9 Aug	H	Pacos Ferreira	2-1	W
1 Aug	A	Cinfães	1-1	D
15 Jul	A	União de Leiria	0-2	L
3 May	A	Paredes	2-2	D

Maia Lidador

0W 2D 5L · goals 3:8 · per match 0.4 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	A	AD Marco 09	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Montalegre	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Bragança	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Vila Meã	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Ponte da Barca	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	SC Braga B	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Brito	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between AD Marco 09 and Maia Lidador on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.28X21%4.3929%9.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.28 → 1.28 0.0%X4.43 → 4.39 -0.9%29.84 → 9.99 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.76	1.96	7.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.90	1.96	3.7%
Average	1.79	1.92	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.25	1.56	8.5%
BetVictor	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.55	9.4%
Best of all books	2.38	1.56	6.1%
Average	2.29	1.54	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AD Marco 09 50%Draw 50%Maia Lidador 0%

The statistical model rated AD Marco 09 at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Maia Lidador at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.28 | 4.39 | 9.99, which imply roughly 78.1% for a AD Marco 09 win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, AD Marco 09 averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Maia Lidador averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AD Marco 09 or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.28	4.41	10.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.16	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	8.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.29	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
1.80	2.30	9.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	9.35	4.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.35
1.5	1.23	3.55
2.5	1.79	1.92
3.5	2.90	1.34
4.5	5.78	1.10
5.5	11.3	1.03
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.28
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.27	3.18
2	1.36	2.75
2.25	1.56	2.21
2.75	1.95	1.73
3	2.27	1.52
3.25	2.48	1.44
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.68	1.40
-1.75	2.20	1.59
-1.5	1.93	1.78
-1.25	1.71	2.01
-1	1.48	2.44
-0.75	1.40	2.66

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	11.0	1.01
-4	10.0	1.02
-3.75	7.40	1.03
-3.5	5.75	1.07
-3.25	5.40	1.09
-3	5.07	1.10
-2.75	4.25	1.18
-2.5	3.37	1.26
-2.25	3.01	1.33
-0.5	1.42	2.75
-0.25	1.18	4.05
0	1.05	7.35
+0.25	1.07	6.50
+0.75	1.01	9.00