JuventudvsDanubio• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Juventud11th32 pts
Danubio15th25 pts
Juventud11th32 pts
Danubio15th25 ptsIn the Primera División table, Juventud sit 11th with 32 points from 28 games, while Danubio are 15th with 25 points from 28 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Juventud at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Danubio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.09 | 3.55, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Juventud win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Juventud are 11th (32 pts, 32-38 goals), Danubio 15th (25 pts, 23-37).
Over their last five matches, Juventud averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Danubio averaged 0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Juventud or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Juventud vs Danubio — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 52 |
| 2 |  Racing Montevideo | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 52 |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Juventud | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
Starting Lineups
Juventud
4-3-3Coach: Ruben Blanco Soto Sergio
Goalkeeper
- 1Sebastián Sosa
Defence
- 24Federico Barrandeguy
- 2Patricio Pernicone
- 23Emmanuel Más
- 16Renzo Rabino
Midfield
- 14Leonel Roldán
- 19Emanuel Cecchini
- 15Alejo Cruz
Attack
- 26Gastón Pereiro
- 10Bruno Larregui
- 7Agustín Alaniz
Substitutes (10)
- 12Fabrizio Correa
- 28Franco Risso
- 5Angel Morosini
- 8Kevin Rolón
- 22Rodrigo Chagas
- 27Juan Boselli
- 31Mirko Díaz
- 30Gonzalo Gomez
- 20Bruno Arady
- 80Fernando Mimbacas
Danubio
3-5-1-1Coach: Gustavo Matosas
Goalkeeper
- 1Mauro Goicoechea
Defence
- 4Mateo Rinaldi
- 19Mauro Brasil
- 31Tomás Cavanagh
- 18Facundo Balatti
- 6Leandro Sosa
Midfield
- 8Sebastián Rodríguez
- 5Juan Millán
- 10Mateo Peralta
Attack
- 30Sebastián Fernández
- 77Bautista Tomatis
Substitutes (10)
- 32Kevin Martínez
- 2Emiliano Velázquez
- 80Cristhian Tizón
- 38Joaquín Trasante
- 16Iván Rossi
- 28Luis Femia
- 17Ezeguiel Velázquez
- 20Maicol Ferreira
- 27Ivo Costantino
- 7Enzo Cabrera
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.01
X
3.10
2
3.53
Double chance
1X
1.24
X2
1.69
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.95
No
1.76
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.39
Under 1.5
2.77
Over 2.5
2.24
Under 2.5
1.60
Over 3.5
4.12
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.67
Over 4.5
8.20
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.41
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
2.08
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.78
Over 2.75
2.58
Under 2.75
1.44
Over 0.75
1.05
Under 0.75
6.70
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.00
Over 1.25
1.21
Under 1.25
3.59
Over 3
3.20
Under 3
1.26
Over 3.25
3.59
Under 3.25
1.21
Over 3.75
5.06
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
7.30
Under 4
1.03
Over 4.25
7.70
Under 4.25
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.45
2
2.57
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.69
X
1.99
2
4.24
First team to score
Home
1.73
No Goal
7.65
Away
2.45
Corners 2-Way
Over 10.25
2.50
Under 10.25
1.43