ProgresovsCerro• Primera División,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Progreso16th22 pts
Cerro13th32 pts
Progreso16th22 pts
Cerro13th32 ptsIn the Primera División table, Progreso sit 16th with 22 points from 28 games, while Cerro are 13th with 32 points from 28 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Progreso at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 2.95 | 2.94, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Progreso win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Progreso are 16th (22 pts, 21-41 goals), Cerro 13th (32 pts, 22-41).
Over their last five matches, Progreso averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Cerro averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Progreso or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Progreso vs Cerro — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 52 |
| 2 |  Racing Montevideo | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 52 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Atletico Torque | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 47 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 42 |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Albion FC | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Juventud | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Defensor Sporting | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 14 |  Boston River | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.30
X
2.97
2
2.98
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.51
12
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
2.04
No
1.69
Match goals
Over 1.75
1.61
Under 1.75
2.18
Over 2
1.82
Under 2
1.88
Over 2.25
2.13
Under 2.25
1.64
Over 2.75
2.85
Under 2.75
1.34
Over 0.75
1.07
Under 0.75
5.80
Over 1
1.10
Under 1
5.15
Over 1.25
1.27
Under 1.25
3.15
Over 3
3.76
Under 3
1.19
Over 3.25
4.16
Under 3.25
1.16
Over 3.75
5.75
Under 3.75
1.07
Over 4
8.30
Under 4
1.02
Over 1.5
1.46
Under 1.5
2.53
Over 2.5
2.44
Under 2.5
1.51
Over 3.5
4.76
Under 3.5
1.15
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
6.78
Over 4.5
9.63
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
21.25
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
50.50
Draw no bet
1
1.65
2
2.14
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.07
Away 1.5
1.13
1st half
1
3.07
X
1.92
2
3.80
First team to score
Home
1.92
No Goal
6.70
Away
2.26
Corners 2-Way
Over 10.25
2.50
Under 10.25
1.43