Roma U19 vs Real Madrid U19• UEFA Youth League, World

4.0:2.00-1FTToday · Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome3.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.33B365X4.60PIN21.67BTNMargin at best4.7%Books8Markets66Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 09:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.80	4.60	1.67	7.9%
Betano	3.85	4.45	1.67	8.3%
BetVictor	4.20	4.33	1.62	8.6%
1xBet	3.87	4.33	1.62	10.7%
Betfair	3.90	4.20	1.62	11.2%
Pinnacle	3.41	4.60	1.66	11.3%
Bet365	4.33	4.33	1.53	11.5%
William Hill	3.60	4.00	1.65	13.4%
Best of all books	4.33	4.60	1.67	4.7%
Average	3.87	4.35	1.63	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Roma U19Real Madrid U19

Last 1010Form pts · last 5114.0Goals for · last 53.02.0Goals against · last 50.057Attack rating430Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating1000Goals model042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 10:10 UTC

Roma U19

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:12 · per match 2.5 for, 1.2 against

10 Sep	A	Fenerbahce U19	4-2	W
31 May	A	Sassuolo U19	0-3	L
28 May	H	Lazio U19	3-2	W
18 May	H	Bologna U19	4-1	W
12 May	A	Lecce U19	1-1	D
4 May	H	Lazio U19	0-0	D
29 Apr	A	Sampdoria U19	2-0	W
20 Apr	H	Sassuolo U19	4-0	W
13 Apr	A	Juventus U19	3-3	D
7 Apr	H	Empoli U19	4-0	W

Real Madrid U19

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	H	Santiago Wanderers U20	3-1	W
8 Sep	H	Internazionale U19	3-0	W
20 Apr	A	Club Brugge U19	1-1	D
17 Apr	H	PSG U19	1-1	D
18 Mar	H	Sporting CP U19	2-1	W
25 Feb	H	Chelsea U19	1-0	W
3 Feb	H	Olympique Marseille U19	5-2	W
10 Dec	H	Manchester City U19	0-4	L
26 Nov	A	Olympiakos Piraeus U19	2-0	W
4 Nov	A	Liverpool U19	4-0	W

Head to head

0Roma U19 wins

0draws

2Real Madrid U19 wins

2 meetings · goals 2:9 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Roma U19

27 Nov 2018UEFA Youth League	UEFA Youth League	Roma U191-6Real Madrid U19
19 Sep 2018UEFA Youth League	UEFA Youth League	Real Madrid U193-1Roma U19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.94X21%4.24256%1.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Betano	1.35	2.95	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.36	2.87	8.4%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.30	3.8%
Average	1.33	3.01	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Betano	1.40	2.70	8.5%
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Betfair	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.38	2.77	8.6%
Best of all books	1.44	3.00	2.8%
Average	1.38	2.78	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Roma U19 10%Draw 45%Real Madrid U19 45%

The statistical model rated Roma U19 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Madrid U19 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.94 | 4.24 | 1.63, which imply roughly 23.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Roma U19 averaged 4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Real Madrid U19 averaged 3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Madrid U19 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.87	4.35	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.13	1.20	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.15	1.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.99	2.66	2.07

2nd half

1	X	2
3.80	3.01	1.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.46	14.3	16.8
HT X	10.2	8.05	5.03
HT 2	28.8	14.0	2.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	23.0	1.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.8
1.5	1.08	6.47
2.5	1.33	3.01
3.5	1.87	1.84
4.5	2.97	1.34
5.5	5.04	1.13
6.5	7.87	1.06
7.5	10.9	1.02
8.5	17.0	–
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.0
1.75	1.07	5.74
2	1.09	5.30
2.25	1.20	3.70
2.75	1.37	2.75
3	1.49	2.41
3.25	1.68	2.03
3.75	2.06	1.65
4	2.40	1.49
4.25	2.65	1.39
4.75	3.34	1.24
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.65	1.12
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.44	1.48
+0.5	2.12	1.66
+0.75	1.92	1.79
+1	1.69	2.06
+1.25	1.53	2.31
+1.5	1.46	2.52

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.30	1.03
-1.25	6.15	1.06
-1	6.68	1.08
-0.75	4.55	1.16
-0.5	3.70	1.26
-0.25	3.37	1.27
0	2.93	1.35
+1.75	1.38	2.79
+2	1.21	3.86
+2.25	1.19	4.20
+2.5	1.17	4.47
+2.75	1.11	5.73
+3	1.08	6.73
+3.25	1.11	5.70
+3.5	1.01	8.30
+4	1.01	9.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.50	2.40
9.5	1.84	1.84
10.5	2.42	1.50