Orlando Pirates vs 
Mamelodi Sundowns• 8 Cup, South-Africa
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 11:33 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.05 | 2.57 | 8.5% |
| Pinnacle | 2.79 | 2.91 | 2.57 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 9.7% |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 10.2% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 12.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.43 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.43 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 13.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.57 | 6.9% |
| Average | 2.71 | 2.97 | 2.48 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:14 UTC
Orlando Pirates
8W 2D 0L · goals 21:2 · per match 2.1 for, 0.2 against
| 20 Sep | A | Marumo Gallants | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Durban City | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | La Cure Waves | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | La Cure Waves | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Sep | A | Kruger United | 4-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Sekhukhune United | 3-0 | W |
| 25 Aug | H | Sekhukhune United | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Sekhukhune United | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Chippa United | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Aug | A | Amazulu | 1-1 | D |
Mamelodi Sundowns
7W 2D 1L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against
| 19 Sep | H | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Chippa United | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | Siwelele | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Golden Arrows | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Sep | H | Milford FC | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Golden Arrows | 3-2 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Amazulu | 5-2 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Golden Arrows | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Aug | H | Marumo Gallants | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Kaizer Chiefs | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
27 meetings · goals 20:42 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Orlando Pirates
| 18 Feb 2026Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Orlando Pirates1-2Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 1 Nov 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates |
| 23 Aug 20258 Cup | 8 Cup | Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates |
| 16 Aug 20258 Cup | 8 Cup | Orlando Pirates1-1Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 16 Mar 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Orlando Pirates2-1Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 8 Feb 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns4-1Orlando Pirates |
| 1 Jun 2024Cup | Cup | Mamelodi Sundowns1-2Orlando Pirates |
| 17 Feb 2024Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns1-1Orlando Pirates |
| 7 Oct 20238 Cup | 8 Cup | Orlando Pirates0-0Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 20 Sep 2023Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Orlando Pirates0-1Mamelodi Sundowns |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 1.56 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 1.57 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.18 | 1.58 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 1.55 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 1.55 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 1.58 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.27 | 1.55 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 1.80 | 8.2% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.75 | 9.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.76 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.80 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.77 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Orlando Pirates at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mamelodi Sundowns at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 2.97 | 2.48, which imply roughly 36.9% for a Orlando Pirates win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Orlando Pirates averaged 2 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Orlando Pirates or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.71 | 2.97 | 2.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.39 | 1.31 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.77 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 1.95 | 3.18 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 6.80 | 2.01 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.14 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
| 2.5 | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 4.22 | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 8.63 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 16.5 | 1.02 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.05 | 6.45 |
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.47 |
| 1.75 | 1.50 | 2.35 |
| 2 | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| 2.25 | 1.95 | 1.74 |
| 2.75 | 2.61 | 1.41 |
| 3 | 3.39 | 1.25 |
| 3.25 | 4.07 | 1.18 |
| 3.75 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 7.80 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.68 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
| 0 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| +0.5 | 1.48 | 2.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.32 | 2.98 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.70 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 5.40 | 1.12 |
| -1 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| -0.75 | 3.27 | 1.27 |
| +1 | 1.16 | 4.20 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 11.0 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 11.5 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 8 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 8.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |