Fátima vs Vinhais• Taça de Portugal, Portugal

3.0:1.04-1FT20/090.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.15AVGX5.91AVG215.4AVGMargin10.4%Books6Markets53Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 15:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.45	3.90	6.50	10.0%
1xBet	1.42	3.65	7.80	10.6%
Bet365	1.48	3.60	6.50	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.41	3.65	7.40	11.8%
William Hill	1.44	3.70	6.00	13.1%
Pinnacle	1.44	3.55	5.57	15.6%
Best of all books	1.48	3.90	7.80	6.0%
Average	1.44	3.68	6.63	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FátimaVinhais

Last 109Form pts · last 503.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 11:02 UTC

Fátima

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

20 Sep	H	Vinhais	4-1	W
13 Sep	H	Oliveira Hospital	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Os Marialvas	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Benfica Castelo Branco	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Atlético Malveira	5-0	W
16 Aug	A	O Elvas	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Benfica Castelo Branco	4-1	W
12 Apr	A	Eléctrico	3-0	W
4 Apr	H	Vitória de Sernache	2-2	D
29 Mar	H	Oliveira Hospital	0-2	L

Vinhais

0W 0D 10L · goals 5:32 · per match 0.5 for, 3.2 against

20 Sep	A	Fátima	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	Vila Meã	0-4	L
6 Sep	H	Chaves II	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Tirsense	0-3	L
16 Aug	H	Maria da Fonte	0-1	L
21 Sep	A	Ançã	1-3	L
8 Sep	A	Vianense	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Vianense	0-4	L
25 Sep	H	Nacional	0-3	L
9 Sep	H	Chaves II	1-6	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Fátima and Vinhais on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.15X15%5.9126%15.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	1.97	1.72	8.9%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.73	9.6%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	1.98	1.72	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.14	1.62	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.60	9.2%
William Hill	2.05	1.65	9.4%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.12	1.63	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fátima 33%Draw 33%Vinhais 33%

The statistical model rated Fátima at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Vinhais at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 5.91 | 15.42, which imply roughly 87% for a Fátima win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Fátima averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Vinhais averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.68	6.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.48	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
2.06	2.14	6.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	8.30	3.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.53
1.5	1.30	3.15
2.5	1.98	1.72
3.5	3.51	1.25
4.5	7.32	1.06
5.5	16.0	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.68
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.16	4.14
1.75	1.36	2.72
2	1.48	2.35
2.25	1.72	1.94
2.75	2.22	1.55
3	2.67	1.36
3.25	2.99	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.85	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.65	1.38
-1.5	2.28	1.51
-1.25	2.01	1.66
-1	1.78	1.91
-0.75	1.60	2.16
-0.5	1.43	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.25	8.65	1.01
-3	8.30	1.01
-2.75	5.60	1.08
-2.5	4.33	1.14
-2.25	3.95	1.17
-2	3.50	1.22
-0.25	1.29	3.07
0	1.08	5.55
+0.25	1.06	6.30
+0.75	1.03	9.15
+1	1.02	10.0
+1.5	1.01	11.0