Génesis vs CD Olimpia• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#51.0:0.821:00Today · Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova, La Paz2.2:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.00DAFX3.50B36521.86DAFMargin at best7.3%Books8Markets43Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.00	3.40	1.86	8.2%
Betfair	3.90	3.50	1.80	9.8%
Betano	3.75	3.35	1.85	10.6%
1xBet	3.88	3.34	1.81	11.0%
Bet365	3.70	3.50	1.80	11.2%
William Hill	3.90	3.10	1.85	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.78	3.34	1.79	12.3%
Pinnacle	3.82	3.29	1.78	12.8%
Best of all books	4.00	3.50	1.86	7.3%
Average	3.84	3.35	1.82	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GénesisCD Olimpia

Last 10#5Table position#21.38Points per game2.135Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.031Attack rating6956Defence rating4438Form rating6220H2H rating8060Goals model4041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Génesis

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

19 Sep	H	Olancho	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	CD Motagua	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Juticalpa	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	CD Marathon	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Atletico Independiente	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Platense FC	3-0	W
9 Aug	A	Real Espana	0-2	L
1 Aug	H	Atlético Choloma	2-0	W
19 May	A	CD Motagua	1-2	L
15 May	H	Olancho	1-1	D

CD Olimpia

7W 2D 1L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Atletico Independiente	4-0	W
18 Sep	H	Firpo	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	CD Marathon	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Firpo	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Platense FC	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Estrella Roja	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Deportivo Saprissa	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Olancho	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Alianza FC	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	CD Motagua	3-1	W

Head to head

1Génesis wins

2draws

11CD Olimpia wins

14 meetings · goals 13:35 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Génesis

15 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Génesis0-2CD Olimpia
26 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Olimpia1-0Génesis
9 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Génesis6-2CD Olimpia
13 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Olimpia3-2Génesis
4 May 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Olimpia4-0Génesis
2 Mar 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Génesis1-1CD Olimpia
29 Sep 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Olimpia4-0Génesis
28 Jul 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Génesis0-3CD Olimpia
10 Mar 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	CD Olimpia4-0Génesis
21 Jan 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Génesis2-2CD Olimpia

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 10 Oct 01:21 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Génesis sit 5th with 11 points from 8 games, while CD Olimpia are 2nd with 17 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	+9	18
2	CD Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	+12	17
3	CD Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	+8	17
4	CD Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	+3	13
5	Génesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	+4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	+1	11
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
10	Platense FC	9	2	2	5	8:19	-11	8
11	Atlético Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7
12	Juticalpa	9	2	0	7	9:21	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.84X27%3.35250%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.82 → 3.84 +0.5%X3.25 → 3.35 +3.1%21.84 → 1.82 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.83	1.88	7.8%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.89	1.81	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.73	1.94	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Génesis 10%Draw 45%CD Olimpia 45%

The statistical model rates Génesis at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Olimpia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.84 | 3.35 | 1.82, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Génesis are 5th (11 pts, 10-6 goals), CD Olimpia 2nd (17 pts, 19-7).

Over their last five matches, Génesis averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; CD Olimpia averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Olimpia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.84	3.35	1.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.81	1.20	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.71	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
4.39	2.12	2.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.50	9.75	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.90
1.5	1.27	3.17
2.5	1.89	1.81
3.5	3.20	1.26
4.5	5.90	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.30
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.30	2.99
2	1.39	2.60
2.25	1.63	2.09
2.75	2.09	1.63
3	2.48	1.43
3.25	2.82	1.34
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.85	1.36
+0.25	2.18	1.59
+0.5	1.90	1.81
+0.75	1.66	2.07
+1	1.44	2.50
+1.25	1.35	2.85

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.75	4.93	1.13
-0.5	3.70	1.26
-0.25	3.30	1.27
+1.5	1.27	3.33
+1.75	1.21	3.86
+2	1.09	6.08
+2.25	1.12	6.00
+2.5	1.06	6.93