Platense FC vs Juticalpa• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#121.0:2.21-1LiveToday · Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortes1.4:2.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.891XBX3.45DAF23.85DAFMargin at best7.9%Books9Markets44Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	3.45	3.85	8.2%
BetVictor	1.83	3.40	3.90	9.7%
Betfair	1.80	3.50	3.80	10.4%
Bet365	1.80	3.40	3.90	10.6%
1xBet	1.83	3.36	3.78	10.9%
Betano	1.88	3.30	3.65	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.81	3.36	3.68	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.80	12.6%
Pinnacle	1.82	3.27	3.68	12.7%
Best of all books	1.88	3.50	3.90	7.4%
Average	1.83	3.35	3.78	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Platense FCJuticalpa

Last 10#12Table position#110.63Points per game0.754Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 52.442Attack rating5852Defence rating4840Form rating6038H2H rating6241Goals model5945Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Platense FC

2W 2D 6L · goals 7:22 · per match 0.7 for, 2.2 against

18 Sep	H	Lobos Upnfm	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Estrella Roja	2-2	D
4 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Atletico Independiente	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Atlético Choloma	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	Génesis	0-3	L
8 Aug	H	CD Marathon	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Real Espana	0-3	L
1 May	A	CD Olimpia	0-4	L
26 Apr	H	Olancho	1-0	W

Juticalpa

3W 0D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

21 Sep	H	CD Marathon	3-2	W
14 Sep	A	Atletico Independiente	1-2	L
7 Sep	H	Génesis	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Lobos Upnfm	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Estrella Roja	2-5	L
17 Aug	A	Olancho	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	1-3	L
2 Aug	H	CD Motagua	0-3	L
27 Apr	H	Lobos Upnfm	1-0	W
22 Apr	A	Victoria	1-2	L

Head to head

4Platense FC wins

7draws

9Juticalpa wins

20 meetings · goals 23:31 · last 10: 1W 6D 3L for Platense FC

16 Apr 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa1-1Platense FC
22 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC4-0Juticalpa
28 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC1-1Juticalpa
30 Jul 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa1-0Platense FC
15 Apr 2019Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa2-0Platense FC
17 Feb 2019Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC1-1Juticalpa
11 Nov 2018Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC0-0Juticalpa
13 Sep 2018Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa1-1Platense FC
11 Mar 2018Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Juticalpa3-1Platense FC
28 Jan 2018Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Platense FC0-0Juticalpa

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 9 Oct 00:21 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Platense FC sit 12th with 5 points from 8 games, while Juticalpa are 11th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	+9	18
2	CD Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	+12	17
3	CD Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	+8	17
4	CD Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	+3	13
5	Génesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	+4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	+1	11
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
10	Atlético Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6
12	Platense FC	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.83X27%3.35224%3.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.87 → 1.85 -1.1%X3.27 → 3.34 +2.1%23.67 → 3.74 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.91	7.6%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
Best of all books	1.95	1.91	3.6%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.71	2.00	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Platense FC 10%Draw 45%Juticalpa 45%

The statistical model rates Platense FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Juticalpa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.35 | 3.78, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Platense FC are 12th (5 pts, 6-18 goals), Juticalpa 11th (6 pts, 8-19).

Over their last five matches, Platense FC averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Juticalpa averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Juticalpa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.35	3.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.79	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.15	4.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	9.00	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.70
1.5	1.24	3.51
2.5	1.84	1.85
3.5	3.08	1.31
4.5	6.40	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.29	3.07
2	1.36	2.70
2.25	1.58	2.17
2.75	1.99	1.68
3	2.34	1.48
3.25	2.63	1.38
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.70	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.80	1.36
-1	2.47	1.45
-0.75	2.06	1.66
-0.5	1.82	1.89
-0.25	1.60	2.17
0	1.37	2.82

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.20	1.08
-2.25	5.75	1.14
-2	5.57	1.10
-1.75	3.95	1.21
-1.5	3.17	1.29
+0.25	1.28	3.23
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.14	4.73
+1	1.04	6.95
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	2.01	1.74