LDU Portoviejo vs El Nacional• Liga Pro Serie B, Ecuador

#91.0:0.43-2FT03/10 · Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo0.6:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.531XBX4.271XB26.42PINMargin at best4.4%Books5Markets43Rating79 · 22Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 20:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.56	4.08	6.10	5.0%
Betfair	1.47	3.90	6.50	9.1%
Betano	1.57	3.55	5.30	10.7%
Bet365	1.45	3.70	6.25	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	3.62	5.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.57	4.08	6.50	3.6%
Average	1.51	3.77	5.97	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LDU PortoviejoEl Nacional

Last 10#9Table position#121.23Points per game0.558Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 51.863Attack rating3882Defence rating1875Form rating2593H2H rating779Goals model2179Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 17:01 UTC

LDU Portoviejo

3W 5D 2L · goals 7:5 · per match 0.7 for, 0.5 against

24 Sep	H	22 de Julio	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Gualaceo SC	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Delfin SC	0-2	L
11 Sep	H	Santo Domingo	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	El Nacional	2-0	W
26 Aug	A	Cumbayá	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	22 de Julio	2-0	W
13 Aug	A	Cuniburo	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Cumbayá	0-0	D
6 Aug	H	Barcelona SC	0-1	L

El Nacional

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	LDU Portoviejo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Cumbayá	0-3	L
18 Sep	A	Santo Domingo	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	22 de Julio	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	LDU Portoviejo	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gualaceo SC	0-3	L
20 Aug	A	Ind. Juniors	1-1	D
13 Aug	H	San Antonio	0-1	L
6 Aug	H	9 de Octubre	1-0	W
31 Jul	A	22 de Julio	3-1	W

Head to head

7LDU Portoviejo wins

1draws

1El Nacional wins

9 meetings · goals 17:5 · last 9: 7W 1D 1L for LDU Portoviejo

5 Sep 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional0-2LDU Portoviejo
31 May 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional0-1LDU Portoviejo
28 Mar 2026Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo2-1El Nacional
1 Sep 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional1-1LDU Portoviejo
14 Jul 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo2-0El Nacional
3 Jun 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	El Nacional1-2LDU Portoviejo
31 Mar 2021Liga Pro Serie B	Liga Pro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo3-0El Nacional
15 Oct 2020Liga Pro	Liga Pro	LDU Portoviejo3-0El Nacional
16 Feb 2020Liga Pro	Liga Pro	El Nacional2-1LDU Portoviejo

Liga Pro Serie B tableLiga Pro Serie Bupdated 8 Oct 00:05 UTC

In the Liga Pro Serie B table, LDU Portoviejo sit 9th with 27 points from 22 games, while El Nacional are 12th with 12 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	22	10	9	3	28:16	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	9	11	2	25:14	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	9	7	6	20:23	-3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	8	7	7	25:17	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	7	10	5	24:21	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	7	8	7	19:16	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	6	10	6	17:16	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	7	6	9	17:22	-5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	5	11	6	22:22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	4	3	15	10:31	-21	15
12	El Nacional	22	2	6	14	15:32	-17	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.47X24%3.81215%5.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.47 -2.6%X3.77 → 3.81 +1.1%25.97 → 5.82 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.73	4.3%
Average	2.07	1.68	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Average	2.13	1.60	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

LDU Portoviejo 50%Draw 50%El Nacional 0%

The statistical model rated LDU Portoviejo at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and El Nacional at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 3.81 | 5.82, which imply roughly 68% for a LDU Portoviejo win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Pro Serie B table: LDU Portoviejo are 9th (27 pts, 17-22 goals), El Nacional 12th (12 pts, 15-32).

Over their last five matches, LDU Portoviejo averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; El Nacional averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : LDU Portoviejo or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	3.77	5.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.28	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.13	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.12	6.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	7.55	3.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.15
1.5	1.35	2.87
2.5	2.07	1.68
3.5	3.71	1.22
4.5	7.95	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.20	3.91
1.75	1.43	2.46
2	1.57	2.14
2.25	1.82	1.87
2.75	2.38	1.46
3	3.04	1.29
3.25	3.41	1.25
3.75	4.70	1.15
4	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.08	1.28
-1.5	2.52	1.41
-1.25	2.22	1.54
-1	1.90	1.78
-0.75	1.64	2.02
-0.25	1.32	2.88

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.70	1.01
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2.25	4.60	1.12
-2	4.20	1.15
0	1.15	4.30
+0.25	1.11	4.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	2.10	1.67