Sturm Graz vs Celje• UEFA Europa League, World

#190.3:1.020:00Today · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz0.7:2.3#29

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.70PIN26.00B365Margin at best2.5%Books10Markets101Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.55	4.70	5.90	2.7%
1xBet	1.54	4.66	5.93	3.3%
Dafabet	1.53	4.70	5.80	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.52	4.70	5.92	4.0%
Marathonbet	1.52	4.60	5.85	4.6%
Betfair	1.50	4.50	6.00	5.6%
Bet365	1.50	4.33	6.00	6.4%
BetVictor	1.50	4.33	5.75	7.2%
William Hill	1.50	4.33	5.50	7.9%
SBO	1.46	4.22	5.42	10.6%
Best of all books	1.55	4.70	6.00	2.5%
Average	1.51	4.51	5.81	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sturm GrazCelje

Last 10#19Table position#291.33Points per game0.338Form pts · last 590.3Goals for · last 50.71.0Goals against · last 52.333Attack rating6770Defence rating3080Form rating200H2H rating0100Goals model061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Sturm Graz

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Wolfsberger AC	1-1	D
29 Oct	A	Austria Lustenau	2-3	L
25 Oct	H	Ried	2-2	D
22 Oct	H	Marseille	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Grazer AK	6-1	W
15 Oct	A	Bournemouth	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Austria Vienna	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Floridsdorfer AC	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Red Bull Salzburg	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Rennes	0-0	D

Celje

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Nafta	4-0	W
28 Oct	A	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Korotan Prevalje	2-0	W
22 Oct	H	Red Bull Salzburg	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Maribor	0-0	D
15 Oct	H	Omonia Nicosia	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Aluminij	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Mura	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bravo	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sturm Graz and Celje on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 4 Nov 19:30 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Sturm Graz sit 19th with 4 points from 3 games, while Celje are 29th with 1 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4:1	+3	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	10:2	+8	9
3	Bayer Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	8:0	+8	9
4	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	+7	9
5	Ferencvarosi TC	3	3	0	0	9:3	+6	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	2	1	0	8:1	+7	7
7	Juventus	3	2	1	0	9:3	+6	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	2	1	0	9:5	+4	7
9	Sunderland	3	2	1	0	4:2	+2	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	6:2	+4	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
12	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4:3	+1	6
13	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	+5	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	8:5	+3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	1	1	1	5:3	+2	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1	1	1	3:4	-1	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	1:3	-2	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	5:8	-3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	4:3	+1	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3
24	AC Milan	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
26	OFI	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	1	0	2	4:6	-2	3
28	Torreense	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
29	Celje	3	0	1	2	2:7	-5	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	0	1	2	1:6	-5	1
31	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	2:9	-7	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	0	1	2	1:9	-8	1
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0
34	Marseille	3	0	0	3	1:6	-5	0
35	Celtic	3	0	0	3	3:9	-6	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0	0	3	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.51X21%4.51216%5.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.51 -3.8%X4.24 → 4.51 +6.4%25.10 → 5.81 +13.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.46	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.42	5.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
1xBet	1.55	2.40	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Average	1.56	2.41	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.65	2.13	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.65	2.14	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sturm Graz 45%Draw 45%Celje 10%

The statistical model rates Sturm Graz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Celje at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.51 | 5.81, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Sturm Graz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Sturm Graz are 19th (4 pts, 1-3 goals), Celje 29th (1 pts, 2-7).

Over their last five matches, Sturm Graz averaged 0.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Celje averaged 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.51	5.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.50	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.51	5.31

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.90	4.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.19	15.5	42.4
HT X	4.50	7.19	12.4
HT 2	19.8	16.4	9.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	17.5	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.3
1.5	1.16	4.89
2.5	1.56	2.41
3.5	2.38	1.57
4.5	4.15	1.21
5.5	7.61	1.07
6.5	13.5	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.25	1.07	6.38
1.75	1.19	4.32
2	1.23	3.88
2.25	1.40	2.80
2.75	1.69	2.16
3	1.89	1.91
3.25	2.12	1.69
3.75	2.65	1.41
4	3.32	1.29
4.25	3.55	1.23
4.75	4.79	1.13
5	6.46	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.70	1.43
-1.5	2.34	1.59
-1.25	2.07	1.74
-1	1.81	2.01
-0.75	1.61	2.30
-0.5	1.50	2.57

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.80	1.04
-3	6.84	1.06
-2.75	5.05	1.13
-2.5	4.14	1.20
-2.25	3.65	1.24
-2	3.43	1.30
-0.25	1.34	3.13
0	1.19	4.46
+0.25	1.15	4.84
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.08	6.79
+1.5	1.03	11.1

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.09	6.40
2.5	1.27	3.50
3.5	1.65	2.16
4.5	2.30	1.59
5.5	3.20	1.32
6.5	4.75	1.16
7.5	7.00	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04
9.5	11.0	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.34	3.03
4	1.92	1.87
5	3.17	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	14.8
5.5	1.04	8.25
6.5	1.12	5.20
7.5	1.27	3.43
8.5	1.52	2.40
9.5	1.89	1.85
10.5	2.45	1.50
11.5	3.33	1.28
12.5	4.76	1.14
13.5	6.83	1.07
14.5	9.08	1.03
15.5	12.2	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.37
7	1.14	3.82
7.75	1.31	2.92
8	1.33	2.78
8.25	1.44	2.46
8.75	1.60	2.12
9	1.70	2.07
9.25	1.81	1.85
9.75	2.09	1.66
10	2.18	1.63
10.25	2.39	1.48
10.75	2.75	1.36
11	2.75	1.34
11.25	3.28	1.25
12	3.55	1.17
13	4.69	1.08
14	5.62	1.04

Next UEFA Europa League matches

5 Nov	Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia
5 Nov	Crystal Palace – 1899 Hoffenheim
5 Nov	Lillestrom – Plzen
5 Nov	NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia
5 Nov	Real Sociedad – Lyon
5 Nov	Sparta Praha – Bournemouth

All UEFA Europa League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa League results

4 Nov	Rennes 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 Oct	Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace
22 Oct	Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha
22 Oct	Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo
22 Oct	Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia
22 Oct	Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht