Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom• UEFA Europa League, World

#54.0:1.01-1FTToday · Stadion Letná, Prague1.0:1.0#23

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.38BTNX5.64PIN29.001XBMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets105Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.38	5.50	8.50	2.4%
1xBet	1.35	5.58	9.00	3.1%
Pinnacle	1.34	5.64	8.71	3.8%
Dafabet	1.36	5.60	7.80	4.2%
Marathonbet	1.33	5.50	8.90	4.6%
Bet365	1.33	5.50	7.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.30	5.50	8.50	6.9%
BetVictor	1.30	5.50	8.50	6.9%
SBO	1.33	5.22	7.14	8.4%
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.50	8.5%
Best of all books	1.38	5.64	9.00	1.3%
Average	1.34	5.45	8.21	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sparta PrahaLillestrom

Last 10#5Table position#232.00Points per game0.5013Form pts · last 554.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4375Defence rating2543Form rating570H2H rating00Goals model058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 19:50 UTC

Sparta Praha

7W 1D 2L · goals 27:10 · per match 2.7 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	H	Lillestrom	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Pardubice	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Vysočina Jihlava	5-3	W
20 Sep	A	Sigma Olomouc	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Ararat-Armenia	4-1	W
12 Sep	H	FK Jablonec	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Viktoria Žižkov	5-0	W
6 Sep	A	Hradec Králové	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Slavia Praha	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Artis	4-0	W

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

15 Oct	A	Sparta Praha	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Molde	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Bærum	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Viking	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Torreense	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Brann	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Aurskog Finstadbru	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Fredrikstad	1-4	L
27 Aug	H	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Sparta Praha and Lillestrom on record.

UEFA Europa League tableUEFA Europa Leagueupdated 15 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Europa League table, Sparta Praha sit 5th with 4 points from 2 games, while Lillestrom are 23rd with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	6:0	+6	6
2	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
3	Lyon	2	2	0	0	5:3	+2	6
4	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	3:1	+2	6
5	Sparta Praha	2	1	1	0	5:2	+3	4
6	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4:1	+3	4
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5:0	+5	3
8	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	6:3	+3	3
9	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4:1	+3	3
10	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3
11	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
12	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
13	OFI	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
14	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
15	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
16	Torreense	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Red Bull Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3
19	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
22	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
23	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
24	Hapoel Beer Sheva	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
25	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
29	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
32	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
34	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0
35	Celje	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	0:8	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.39X18%5.24214%6.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.35 → 1.33 -1.5%X5.03 → 5.45 +8.3%27.74 → 8.21 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.73	4.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
1xBet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.49	9.1%
Best of all books	1.50	2.75	3.0%
Average	1.46	2.63	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
William Hill	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.75	2.02	6.6%
1xBet	1.76	1.97	7.6%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.95	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.76	2.10	4.4%
Average	1.73	2.03	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sparta Praha 45%Draw 45%Lillestrom 10%

The statistical model rated Sparta Praha at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lillestrom at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 5.24 | 6.98, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Sparta Praha win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa League table: Sparta Praha are 5th (4 pts, 5-2 goals), Lillestrom 23rd (1 pts, 2-3).

Over their last five matches, Sparta Praha averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lillestrom averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Sparta Praha.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sparta Praha

4-3-3

Coach: Brian Priske

Goalkeeper

44J. Surovčík

Defence

2M. Suchomel
19A. Ševínský
6T. Guddal
15V. Vitályos

Midfield

38H. Sochurek
20S. Mannsverk
18A. Irving

Attack

31M. Jurásek
14J. Braut Brunes
27E. Singhateh

Substitutes (12)

30J. Zelený
26P. Vydra
47K. Hegyi
21J. Grimaldo
5Santiago Eneme
7J. Alcócer
25K. Hoever
3P. Kadeřábek
28R. Macek
4J. Martinec
17J. Mercado
29M. Vojta

Lillestrom

4-3-3

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Goalkeeper

12P. Dahlberg

Defence

2L. Ranger
28R. Gabrielsen
47S. Kristiansen
26Y. Paintsil

Midfield

29Y. Ibrahimaj
21F. Ottosson
14G. Nyheim

Attack

22D. Bassi
8F. Gulbrandsen
20Vá

Substitutes (10)

7L. Alperud
17E. Kitolano
3S. Ottesen
15G. Nordh
16H. Melland
5S. Foss
10T. Lehne Olsen
18K. Krygård
1S. Hagerup
11F. Elkær

Match Statistics

Sparta PrahaLillestrom

1.05Expected Goals0.8

347Passes accurate302

7Shots insidebox4

8Shots outsidebox2

3Blocked Shots1

9Free Kicks12

8Shots on Goal2

1Goalkeeper Saves6

4Shots off Goal3

1Offsides2

412Total passes389

15Total Shots6

3Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks1

12Fouls9

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.33	5.45	8.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.28	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
1.72	2.74	6.97

2nd half

1	X	2
1.60	3.17	6.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.81	18.0	56.9
HT X	4.31	8.58	17.3
HT 2	20.0	20.4	14.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	20.5	3.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.8
1.5	1.13	5.50
2.5	1.46	2.63
3.5	2.18	1.69
4.5	3.58	1.27
5.5	6.59	1.09
6.5	12.4	1.04
7.5	20.5	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	15.5
1.25	1.07	6.48
1.75	1.12	4.71
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.32	2.99
2.75	1.56	2.32
3	1.72	2.09
3.25	1.97	1.84
3.75	2.47	1.51
4	2.99	1.36
4.25	3.29	1.27
4.75	4.34	1.15
5	5.75	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.79	1.40
-2	2.51	1.50
-1.75	2.12	1.71
-1.5	1.90	1.91
-1.25	1.68	2.17
-1	1.46	2.63

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	11.5	1.01
-4	10.5	1.02
-3.75	6.85	1.04
-3.5	5.68	1.11
-3.25	5.23	1.12
-3	4.83	1.14
-2.75	3.64	1.24
-2.5	3.11	1.33
-0.75	1.36	2.97
-0.5	1.33	3.40
-0.25	1.18	4.18
0	1.09	6.12
+0.25	1.10	6.80
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.08	6.80
2.5	1.25	3.70
3.5	1.57	2.34
4.5	2.16	1.65
5.5	2.97	1.36
6.5	4.55	1.18
7.5	6.70	1.09
8.5	9.25	1.04
9.5	11.5	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.27	3.46
4	1.84	1.95
5	2.88	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	15.2
5.5	1.04	8.92
6.5	1.08	6.41
7.5	1.20	4.00
8.5	1.39	2.76
9.5	1.67	2.11
10.5	2.11	1.67
11.5	2.72	1.42
12.5	3.77	1.22
13.5	5.70	1.11
14.5	7.33	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.02
16.5	10.8	1.03
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.50	2.28
9	1.44	2.66
9.25	1.49	2.46
9.75	1.63	2.11
10	1.79	2.02
10.25	1.84	1.86
10.75	2.08	1.67
11	2.18	1.63
11.25	2.39	1.51
11.75	2.71	1.37
12	2.79	1.36
12.25	3.20	1.30